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icon for Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica

icon for Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica

Caroline Elliott 78%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.7%

Iain Black 4.1%

Yuri Fulmer 4.1%

Polymarket

$173,592 Vol.

Caroline Elliott 78%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.7%

Iain Black 4.1%

Yuri Fulmer 4.1%

Polymarket

$173,592 Vol.

icon for Caroline Elliott

Caroline Elliott

$46,113 Vol.

78%

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$21,771 Vol.

14%

icon for Iain Black

Iain Black

$19,649 Vol.

4%

icon for Yuri Fulmer

Yuri Fulmer

$22,046 Vol.

4%

icon for Peter Milobar

Peter Milobar

$19,816 Vol.

4%

icon for Bruce Banman

Bruce Banman

$12,001 Vol.

<1%

icon for Harman Bhangu

Harman Bhangu

$15,222 Vol.

<1%

icon for Warren Hamm

Warren Hamm

$8,423 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darrell Jones

Darrell Jones

$8,551 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.With ballots distributed and voting credentials issuing as of May 9 in the Conservative Party of British Columbia's leadership race to replace interim leader Trevor Halford, trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-preference lead of 31% in the latest Pallas Data poll of 1,253 party members (May 1–2), bolstered by endorsements from Jason Kenney, Gordon Campbell, and MLAs like Harman Bhangu. High ballot exhaustion in the preferential ballot system advantages the frontrunner, while Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24% support positions her as viable second amid regional strength outside Metro Vancouver. Final debate clashes and a membership surge to 42,000 underscore Elliott's unity pitch and ground game edge ahead of May 30 results.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$173,592
Data de Término
30 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.With ballots distributed and voting credentials issuing as of May 9 in the Conservative Party of British Columbia's leadership race to replace interim leader Trevor Halford, trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-preference lead of 31% in the latest Pallas Data poll of 1,253 party members (May 1–2), bolstered by endorsements from Jason Kenney, Gordon Campbell, and MLAs like Harman Bhangu. High ballot exhaustion in the preferential ballot system advantages the frontrunner, while Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24% support positions her as viable second amid regional strength outside Metro Vancouver. Final debate clashes and a membership surge to 42,000 underscore Elliott's unity pitch and ground game edge ahead of May 30 results.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$173,592
Data de Término
30 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Caroline Elliott" at 78%, followed by "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica" has generated $173.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica" is "Caroline Elliott" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Conservador da Colúmbia Britânica" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.