Early buzz around Julianne Moore’s lead role in the A24 character drama *The Debut* has established her as the market’s slight frontrunner at 29% implied probability, driven by the film’s strong creative pedigree and her proven awards track record. Inde Navarrette’s breakout horror turn in *Obsession* follows at 21.5%, reflecting trader recognition of her rapid rise and audience appeal in a crowded field. Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds as the race remains wide open eight months before nominations, with momentum likely shifting on fall festival premieres, critics’ awards, and guild nominations. No single narrative has yet consolidated support in this unusually fluid Best Actress cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoÓscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz
Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz
Julianne Moore 29%
Inde Navarrette 22%
Renate Reinsve 15%
Rachel Brosnahan 7.0%
$62,993 Vol.
$62,993 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
29%
Inde Navarrette
22%
Renate Reinsve
15%
Rachel Brosnahan
7%
Sandra Hüller
7%
Virginie Efira
6%
Sophie Okonedo
6%
Léa Seydoux
6%
Ruth Madeley
5%
Michelle Williams
5%
Scarlett Johansson
5%
Julianne Moore 29%
Inde Navarrette 22%
Renate Reinsve 15%
Rachel Brosnahan 7.0%
$62,993 Vol.
$62,993 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
$42,660 Vol.
29%
Inde Navarrette
$8,624 Vol.
22%
Renate Reinsve
$10,260 Vol.
15%
Rachel Brosnahan
$20 Vol.
7%
Sandra Hüller
$845 Vol.
7%
Virginie Efira
$5 Vol.
6%
Sophie Okonedo
$10 Vol.
6%
Léa Seydoux
$468 Vol.
6%
Ruth Madeley
$0 Vol.
5%
Michelle Williams
$97 Vol.
5%
Scarlett Johansson
$5 Vol.
5%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz around Julianne Moore’s lead role in the A24 character drama *The Debut* has established her as the market’s slight frontrunner at 29% implied probability, driven by the film’s strong creative pedigree and her proven awards track record. Inde Navarrette’s breakout horror turn in *Obsession* follows at 21.5%, reflecting trader recognition of her rapid rise and audience appeal in a crowded field. Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds as the race remains wide open eight months before nominations, with momentum likely shifting on fall festival premieres, critics’ awards, and guild nominations. No single narrative has yet consolidated support in this unusually fluid Best Actress cycle.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$62,993Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz around Julianne Moore’s lead role in the A24 character drama *The Debut* has established her as the market’s slight frontrunner at 29% implied probability, driven by the film’s strong creative pedigree and her proven awards track record. Inde Navarrette’s breakout horror turn in *Obsession* follows at 21.5%, reflecting trader recognition of her rapid rise and audience appeal in a crowded field. Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds as the race remains wide open eight months before nominations, with momentum likely shifting on fall festival premieres, critics’ awards, and guild nominations. No single narrative has yet consolidated support in this unusually fluid Best Actress cycle.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,993Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early buzz around Julianne Moore’s lead role in the A24 character drama *The Debut* has established her as the market’s slight frontrunner at 29% implied probability, driven by the film’s strong creative pedigree and her proven awards track record. Inde Navarrette’s breakout horror turn in *Obsession* follows at 21.5%, reflecting trader recognition of her rapid rise and audience appeal in a crowded field. Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds as the race remains wide open eight months before nominations, with momentum likely shifting on fall festival premieres, critics’ awards, and guild nominations. No single narrative has yet consolidated support in this unusually fluid Best Actress cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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