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icon for Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

icon for Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

Keiko Fujimori 66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 34.8%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$52,885,437 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 34.8%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$52,885,437 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$6,409,965 Vol.

66%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$12,492,205 Vol.

35%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$11,911,966 Vol.

1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$2,924,768 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$643,993 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$252,942 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$136,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$266,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$324,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$5,696,038 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$206,758 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$369,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$143,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$161,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$472,555 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$437,430 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$2,191,254 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$277,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$4,138,663 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$1,341,237 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$221,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$1,162,490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$702,774 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori holds the strongest trader consensus for the June 7 runoff after securing first place with 17.2 percent in the April first round amid extreme fragmentation across more than 35 candidates. Her position stems from sustained conservative support, influence in Congress through Popular Force, and a reduced anti-Fujimori sentiment following her father’s 2024 death. Roberto Sánchez advanced narrowly in second at 12.0 percent with backing from jailed former president Pedro Castillo, yet faces significant headwinds from voter concerns over his leftist platform and the polarizing contest. Recent polls show the runoff near even or with substantial blank and null votes, while the market pricing reflects traders’ assessment of Fujimori’s organizational edge and historical runoff resilience over Sánchez’s more uncertain coalition prospects.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$52,885,437
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori holds the strongest trader consensus for the June 7 runoff after securing first place with 17.2 percent in the April first round amid extreme fragmentation across more than 35 candidates. Her position stems from sustained conservative support, influence in Congress through Popular Force, and a reduced anti-Fujimori sentiment following her father’s 2024 death. Roberto Sánchez advanced narrowly in second at 12.0 percent with backing from jailed former president Pedro Castillo, yet faces significant headwinds from voter concerns over his leftist platform and the polarizing contest. Recent polls show the runoff near even or with substantial blank and null votes, while the market pricing reflects traders’ assessment of Fujimori’s organizational edge and historical runoff resilience over Sánchez’s more uncertain coalition prospects.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$52,885,437
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keiko Fujimori" at 66%, followed by "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" has generated $52.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" is "Keiko Fujimori" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.