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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul

Dusty Johnson 71%

Toby Doeden 19%

Jon Hansen 15.8%

Larry Rhoden 5.3%

Polymarket

$58,021 Vol.

Dusty Johnson 71%

Toby Doeden 19%

Jon Hansen 15.8%

Larry Rhoden 5.3%

Polymarket

$58,021 Vol.

Dusty Johnson

$16,144 Vol.

71%

Toby Doeden

$18,766 Vol.

19%

Jon Hansen

$7,733 Vol.

16%

Larry Rhoden

$15,378 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Dusty Johnson holds the strongest position in the South Dakota Republican primary for governor, driven by his consistent lead in recent polling and advantages in name recognition and campaign resources. A late-April Mason-Dixon survey of Republican voters showed him at 34 percent, ahead of Jon Hansen at 18 percent and both Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden at 17 percent, widening his earlier margin. The final debate on April 27 highlighted policy differences on education and Medicaid, with Johnson emphasizing performance benchmarks from other states. Rhoden’s support has declined notably since late 2025, while the June 2 primary requires 35 percent for an outright win or triggers a July runoff between the top two finishers. Traders reflect these dynamics through elevated odds on Johnson as the likely nominee.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$58,021
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Dusty Johnson holds the strongest position in the South Dakota Republican primary for governor, driven by his consistent lead in recent polling and advantages in name recognition and campaign resources. A late-April Mason-Dixon survey of Republican voters showed him at 34 percent, ahead of Jon Hansen at 18 percent and both Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden at 17 percent, widening his earlier margin. The final debate on April 27 highlighted policy differences on education and Medicaid, with Johnson emphasizing performance benchmarks from other states. Rhoden’s support has declined notably since late 2025, while the June 2 primary requires 35 percent for an outright win or triggers a July runoff between the top two finishers. Traders reflect these dynamics through elevated odds on Johnson as the likely nominee.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$58,021
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dusty Johnson" at 71%, followed by "Toby Doeden" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" has generated $58K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is "Dusty Johnson" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Toby Doeden" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.