Persistent disagreements over territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality continue to block progress toward a binding agreement, even as U.S.-mediated trilateral talks occurred in Geneva in February 2026. Russian officials, including Foreign Minister Lavrov in April, have signaled low urgency to resume negotiations, while recent statements by President Putin in May expressing openness to a long-term deal were quickly clarified by the Kremlin as lacking specifics or a concrete timeline. Short-term ceasefires, such as those observed around Orthodox Easter and Victory Day, have not advanced core issues, leaving the conflict in a protracted stalemate that aligns with trader consensus against a signed peace deal materializing before 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$597,264 Vol.
$597,264 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$597,264 Vol.
$597,264 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent disagreements over territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality continue to block progress toward a binding agreement, even as U.S.-mediated trilateral talks occurred in Geneva in February 2026. Russian officials, including Foreign Minister Lavrov in April, have signaled low urgency to resume negotiations, while recent statements by President Putin in May expressing openness to a long-term deal were quickly clarified by the Kremlin as lacking specifics or a concrete timeline. Short-term ceasefires, such as those observed around Orthodox Easter and Victory Day, have not advanced core issues, leaving the conflict in a protracted stalemate that aligns with trader consensus against a signed peace deal materializing before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$597,264Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent disagreements over territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality continue to block progress toward a binding agreement, even as U.S.-mediated trilateral talks occurred in Geneva in February 2026. Russian officials, including Foreign Minister Lavrov in April, have signaled low urgency to resume negotiations, while recent statements by President Putin in May expressing openness to a long-term deal were quickly clarified by the Kremlin as lacking specifics or a concrete timeline. Short-term ceasefires, such as those observed around Orthodox Easter and Victory Day, have not advanced core issues, leaving the conflict in a protracted stalemate that aligns with trader consensus against a signed peace deal materializing before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$597,264Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent disagreements over territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality continue to block progress toward a binding agreement, even as U.S.-mediated trilateral talks occurred in Geneva in February 2026. Russian officials, including Foreign Minister Lavrov in April, have signaled low urgency to resume negotiations, while recent statements by President Putin in May expressing openness to a long-term deal were quickly clarified by the Kremlin as lacking specifics or a concrete timeline. Short-term ceasefires, such as those observed around Orthodox Easter and Victory Day, have not advanced core issues, leaving the conflict in a protracted stalemate that aligns with trader consensus against a signed peace deal materializing before 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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