Traders have converged on 180-199 White House posts for May 12-19 as the leading outcome at 68% implied probability, consistent with steady communication volume during periods of routine executive activity and policy updates. Recent official announcements on legislative priorities and standard diplomatic messaging have sustained this pace without triggering the higher volume associated with major escalations or breaking developments. The 160-179 bracket at 20.8% reflects scenarios of moderated activity amid ongoing negotiations, while the 200+ range at 12.5% prices in the possibility of intensified output from scheduled events or rapid-response statements. Lower brackets remain thinly traded given historical patterns of weekly posting under the current administration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhite House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
180-199 68%
160-179 20.8%
200+ 12%
140-159 1.0%
$37,762 Vol.
$37,762 Vol.
19 mai 2026
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
21%
180-199
68%
200+
12%
180-199 68%
160-179 20.8%
200+ 12%
140-159 1.0%
$37,762 Vol.
$37,762 Vol.
19 mai 2026
120-139
$10,493 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$2,985 Vol.
1%
160-179
$3,273 Vol.
21%
180-199
$2,691 Vol.
68%
200+
$2,761 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on 180-199 White House posts for May 12-19 as the leading outcome at 68% implied probability, consistent with steady communication volume during periods of routine executive activity and policy updates. Recent official announcements on legislative priorities and standard diplomatic messaging have sustained this pace without triggering the higher volume associated with major escalations or breaking developments. The 160-179 bracket at 20.8% reflects scenarios of moderated activity amid ongoing negotiations, while the 200+ range at 12.5% prices in the possibility of intensified output from scheduled events or rapid-response statements. Lower brackets remain thinly traded given historical patterns of weekly posting under the current administration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 9, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$37,762Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 10:37 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on 180-199 White House posts for May 12-19 as the leading outcome at 68% implied probability, consistent with steady communication volume during periods of routine executive activity and policy updates. Recent official announcements on legislative priorities and standard diplomatic messaging have sustained this pace without triggering the higher volume associated with major escalations or breaking developments. The 160-179 bracket at 20.8% reflects scenarios of moderated activity amid ongoing negotiations, while the 200+ range at 12.5% prices in the possibility of intensified output from scheduled events or rapid-response statements. Lower brackets remain thinly traded given historical patterns of weekly posting under the current administration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$37,762Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 10:37 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 180-199 White House posts for May 12-19 as the leading outcome at 68% implied probability, consistent with steady communication volume during periods of routine executive activity and policy updates. Recent official announcements on legislative priorities and standard diplomatic messaging have sustained this pace without triggering the higher volume associated with major escalations or breaking developments. The 160-179 bracket at 20.8% reflects scenarios of moderated activity amid ongoing negotiations, while the 200+ range at 12.5% prices in the possibility of intensified output from scheduled events or rapid-response statements. Lower brackets remain thinly traded given historical patterns of weekly posting under the current administration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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