OpenAI’s sustained focus on advancing its core large language models, AI safety research, and June 2026 IPO preparations has kept dedicated social network development off the near-term roadmap, aligning with the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 release. Early 2025 prototypes for an X-style feed tied to ChatGPT image tools and a 2025 Sora 2 video-sharing app showed interest in social features for engagement and data collection, yet neither progressed to a full standalone platform amid competition from established networks and shifting internal priorities. Traders see incremental integrations, such as recent ad testing in ChatGPT, as insufficient to meet resolution criteria. A surprise pivot remains possible if competitive pressure intensifies, though current signals indicate limited bandwidth for such expansion before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA OpenAI lançará uma rede social em 2026?
A OpenAI lançará uma rede social em 2026?
Sim
8% chance
$62,892 Vol.
$62,892 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
8% chance
$62,892 Vol.
$62,892 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s sustained focus on advancing its core large language models, AI safety research, and June 2026 IPO preparations has kept dedicated social network development off the near-term roadmap, aligning with the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 release. Early 2025 prototypes for an X-style feed tied to ChatGPT image tools and a 2025 Sora 2 video-sharing app showed interest in social features for engagement and data collection, yet neither progressed to a full standalone platform amid competition from established networks and shifting internal priorities. Traders see incremental integrations, such as recent ad testing in ChatGPT, as insufficient to meet resolution criteria. A surprise pivot remains possible if competitive pressure intensifies, though current signals indicate limited bandwidth for such expansion before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volume
$62,892Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s sustained focus on advancing its core large language models, AI safety research, and June 2026 IPO preparations has kept dedicated social network development off the near-term roadmap, aligning with the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 release. Early 2025 prototypes for an X-style feed tied to ChatGPT image tools and a 2025 Sora 2 video-sharing app showed interest in social features for engagement and data collection, yet neither progressed to a full standalone platform amid competition from established networks and shifting internal priorities. Traders see incremental integrations, such as recent ad testing in ChatGPT, as insufficient to meet resolution criteria. A surprise pivot remains possible if competitive pressure intensifies, though current signals indicate limited bandwidth for such expansion before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$62,892Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s sustained focus on advancing its core large language models, AI safety research, and June 2026 IPO preparations has kept dedicated social network development off the near-term roadmap, aligning with the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 release. Early 2025 prototypes for an X-style feed tied to ChatGPT image tools and a 2025 Sora 2 video-sharing app showed interest in social features for engagement and data collection, yet neither progressed to a full standalone platform amid competition from established networks and shifting internal priorities. Traders see incremental integrations, such as recent ad testing in ChatGPT, as insufficient to meet resolution criteria. A surprise pivot remains possible if competitive pressure intensifies, though current signals indicate limited bandwidth for such expansion before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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