OpenAI’s prioritization of large language model advancement, AI safety research, and its June 2026 IPO has kept dedicated social network development off the near-term roadmap, underpinning the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 launch. Early 2025 internal prototypes for an X-style feed integrated with ChatGPT image tools and the September 2025 Sora 2 video-sharing features showed interest in social elements for data collection and engagement, yet these remained incremental rather than full standalone platforms amid competition from established networks. January 2026 biometric verification experiments similarly stayed experimental. Traders see limited bandwidth for a major pivot before year-end, though intensified pressure from xAI or Meta could still trigger a surprise shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA OpenAI lançará uma rede social em 2026?
A OpenAI lançará uma rede social em 2026?
Sim
8% chance
$62,840 Vol.
$62,840 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
8% chance
$62,840 Vol.
$62,840 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s prioritization of large language model advancement, AI safety research, and its June 2026 IPO has kept dedicated social network development off the near-term roadmap, underpinning the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 launch. Early 2025 internal prototypes for an X-style feed integrated with ChatGPT image tools and the September 2025 Sora 2 video-sharing features showed interest in social elements for data collection and engagement, yet these remained incremental rather than full standalone platforms amid competition from established networks. January 2026 biometric verification experiments similarly stayed experimental. Traders see limited bandwidth for a major pivot before year-end, though intensified pressure from xAI or Meta could still trigger a surprise shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volume
$62,840Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s prioritization of large language model advancement, AI safety research, and its June 2026 IPO has kept dedicated social network development off the near-term roadmap, underpinning the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 launch. Early 2025 internal prototypes for an X-style feed integrated with ChatGPT image tools and the September 2025 Sora 2 video-sharing features showed interest in social elements for data collection and engagement, yet these remained incremental rather than full standalone platforms amid competition from established networks. January 2026 biometric verification experiments similarly stayed experimental. Traders see limited bandwidth for a major pivot before year-end, though intensified pressure from xAI or Meta could still trigger a surprise shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$62,840Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s prioritization of large language model advancement, AI safety research, and its June 2026 IPO has kept dedicated social network development off the near-term roadmap, underpinning the 92.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 launch. Early 2025 internal prototypes for an X-style feed integrated with ChatGPT image tools and the September 2025 Sora 2 video-sharing features showed interest in social elements for data collection and engagement, yet these remained incremental rather than full standalone platforms amid competition from established networks. January 2026 biometric verification experiments similarly stayed experimental. Traders see limited bandwidth for a major pivot before year-end, though intensified pressure from xAI or Meta could still trigger a surprise shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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