**Russian forces continue limited probing and shelling operations along the Sumy Oblast border near Krasnopillya (Krasnopillia), a village community targeted for incremental advances or buffer-zone control, but Ukrainian border units and defenses have prevented confirmed entry into the settlement itself as of mid-September 2026.** Ukrainian General Staff and State Border Guard Service reports describe repeated small assault group attempts, heavy artillery, glide bomb, and drone strikes on positions around Krasnopillya and nearby areas such as Pokrovka, with no significant territorial consolidation or penetration into the village proper. Broader frontline activity remains concentrated in Donetsk sectors (Pokrovsk, Kostiantynivka, Lyman directions), where Russian units report incremental gains amid Ukrainian counter-pressure and long-range strikes. ISW assessments note overall modest Russian net territorial progress in 2026, constrained by Ukrainian defensive adaptations and strikes that degrade Russian logistics and drone support. Upcoming factors include seasonal weather shifts potentially favoring mechanized operations, ongoing Russian recruitment and North Korean personnel support, and any escalation in Sumy-specific shelling or infiltration. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these barriers, with resolution typically tied to verified control on open-source maps such as those from ISW.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Rússia entrará em Krasnopillya até...?
A Rússia entrará em Krasnopillya até...?
$89,039 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
5%
$89,039 Vol.
30 de setembro
$44,456 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.**Russian forces continue limited probing and shelling operations along the Sumy Oblast border near Krasnopillya (Krasnopillia), a village community targeted for incremental advances or buffer-zone control, but Ukrainian border units and defenses have prevented confirmed entry into the settlement itself as of mid-September 2026.**
Ukrainian General Staff and State Border Guard Service reports describe repeated small assault group attempts, heavy artillery, glide bomb, and drone strikes on positions around Krasnopillya and nearby areas such as Pokrovka, with no significant territorial consolidation or penetration into the village proper. Broader frontline activity remains concentrated in Donetsk sectors (Pokrovsk, Kostiantynivka, Lyman directions), where Russian units report incremental gains amid Ukrainian counter-pressure and long-range strikes. ISW assessments note overall modest Russian net territorial progress in 2026, constrained by Ukrainian defensive adaptations and strikes that degrade Russian logistics and drone support.
Upcoming factors include seasonal weather shifts potentially favoring mechanized operations, ongoing Russian recruitment and North Korean personnel support, and any escalation in Sumy-specific shelling or infiltration. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these barriers, with resolution typically tied to verified control on open-source maps such as those from ISW.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 9:19 PM ET
Volume
$89,039Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.**Russian forces continue limited probing and shelling operations along the Sumy Oblast border near Krasnopillya (Krasnopillia), a village community targeted for incremental advances or buffer-zone control, but Ukrainian border units and defenses have prevented confirmed entry into the settlement itself as of mid-September 2026.**
Ukrainian General Staff and State Border Guard Service reports describe repeated small assault group attempts, heavy artillery, glide bomb, and drone strikes on positions around Krasnopillya and nearby areas such as Pokrovka, with no significant territorial consolidation or penetration into the village proper. Broader frontline activity remains concentrated in Donetsk sectors (Pokrovsk, Kostiantynivka, Lyman directions), where Russian units report incremental gains amid Ukrainian counter-pressure and long-range strikes. ISW assessments note overall modest Russian net territorial progress in 2026, constrained by Ukrainian defensive adaptations and strikes that degrade Russian logistics and drone support.
Upcoming factors include seasonal weather shifts potentially favoring mechanized operations, ongoing Russian recruitment and North Korean personnel support, and any escalation in Sumy-specific shelling or infiltration. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these barriers, with resolution typically tied to verified control on open-source maps such as those from ISW.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast, (50.77395633727591° N, 35.2597768488549° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$89,039Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Russian forces continue limited probing and shelling operations along the Sumy Oblast border near Krasnopillya (Krasnopillia), a village community targeted for incremental advances or buffer-zone control, but Ukrainian border units and defenses have prevented confirmed entry into the settlement itself as of mid-September 2026.** Ukrainian General Staff and State Border Guard Service reports describe repeated small assault group attempts, heavy artillery, glide bomb, and drone strikes on positions around Krasnopillya and nearby areas such as Pokrovka, with no significant territorial consolidation or penetration into the village proper. Broader frontline activity remains concentrated in Donetsk sectors (Pokrovsk, Kostiantynivka, Lyman directions), where Russian units report incremental gains amid Ukrainian counter-pressure and long-range strikes. ISW assessments note overall modest Russian net territorial progress in 2026, constrained by Ukrainian defensive adaptations and strikes that degrade Russian logistics and drone support. Upcoming factors include seasonal weather shifts potentially favoring mechanized operations, ongoing Russian recruitment and North Korean personnel support, and any escalation in Sumy-specific shelling or infiltration. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these barriers, with resolution typically tied to verified control on open-source maps such as those from ISW.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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