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icon for Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?
Política·Venezuela

Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?

icon for Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?
Política·Venezuela

Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?

Sim

2% chance
Polymarket

$149,550 Vol.

Sim

2% chance
Polymarket

$149,550 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong U.S.-Colombia security partnership under President Abelardo de la Espriella, inaugurated in August 2026, drives trader consensus against any invasion scenario. The new administration has prioritized joint counternarcotics operations, intelligence sharing, equipment support, and potential U.S. involvement in targeting narco-terrorist groups, all framed through formal bilateral agreements and Colombian consent. Recent steps include Colombia's entry into the Shield of the Americas coalition, discussions on expanded military cooperation via the Pentagon, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio's September visit advancing related frameworks on critical minerals and civil nuclear ties. Historical alliance patterns, shared interests in regional stability and Venezuela policy, and the absence of sovereignty disputes or escalatory triggers reinforce this positioning. Late shifts could arise only from abrupt leadership changes in Bogotá or major diplomatic breakdowns, though current trajectories show alignment rather than confrontation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$149,550
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong U.S.-Colombia security partnership under President Abelardo de la Espriella, inaugurated in August 2026, drives trader consensus against any invasion scenario. The new administration has prioritized joint counternarcotics operations, intelligence sharing, equipment support, and potential U.S. involvement in targeting narco-terrorist groups, all framed through formal bilateral agreements and Colombian consent. Recent steps include Colombia's entry into the Shield of the Americas coalition, discussions on expanded military cooperation via the Pentagon, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio's September visit advancing related frameworks on critical minerals and civil nuclear ties. Historical alliance patterns, shared interests in regional stability and Venezuela policy, and the absence of sovereignty disputes or escalatory triggers reinforce this positioning. Late shifts could arise only from abrupt leadership changes in Bogotá or major diplomatic breakdowns, though current trajectories show alignment rather than confrontation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$149,550
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Os Estados Unidos invadirão a Colômbia em 2026?" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?" has generated $149.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?" is "Os Estados Unidos invadirão a Colômbia em 2026?" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Os EUA vão invadir a Colômbia em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.