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Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

$274,024 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$274,024 Vol.

Polymarket

May 17

$442 Vol.

5%

May 18

$898 Vol.

8%

May 19

$3 Vol.

19%

May 20

$69 Vol.

20%

May 21

$0 Vol.

19%

May 22

$0 Vol.

19%

May 23

$0 Vol.

19%

May 24

$0 Vol.

18%

May 25

$0 Vol.

19%

May 26

$0 Vol.

19%

May 27

$0 Vol.

18%

May 28

$0 Vol.

16%

May 29

$0 Vol.

18%

May 30

$6 Vol.

19%

May 31

$24 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trader sentiment around whether Donald Trump will dance at upcoming public events or on specific dates stems primarily from his well-documented history of breaking into spontaneous moves at rallies and high-profile appearances, including past viral moments set to tracks like YMCA. Recent markets tied to White House events, UFC nights, and daily resolutions have shown sharp swings based on his schedule and past patterns of energetic crowd engagement, with traders monitoring official itineraries for clues on ceremonial or celebratory settings. This reflects broader pop culture fascination with Trump's larger-than-life persona, where even brief dance clips can ignite social media buzz and shift implied probabilities quickly ahead of key dates like late May gatherings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$274,024
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trader sentiment around whether Donald Trump will dance at upcoming public events or on specific dates stems primarily from his well-documented history of breaking into spontaneous moves at rallies and high-profile appearances, including past viral moments set to tracks like YMCA. Recent markets tied to White House events, UFC nights, and daily resolutions have shown sharp swings based on his schedule and past patterns of energetic crowd engagement, with traders monitoring official itineraries for clues on ceremonial or celebratory settings. This reflects broader pop culture fascination with Trump's larger-than-life persona, where even brief dance clips can ignite social media buzz and shift implied probabilities quickly ahead of key dates like late May gatherings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$274,024
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump dance on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 1" at 100%, followed by "May 5" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump dance on...?" has generated $274K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump dance on...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump dance on...?" is "May 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 5" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump dance on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.