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icon for Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

icon for Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

$13,090 Vol.

1 jul 2026
Polymarket

$13,090 Vol.

Polymarket

May 31

$12,086 Vol.

21%

June 30

$1,004 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 14:18.375 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xQc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing rivalry between xQc and Forsen continues to drive trader sentiment in this Minecraft speedrunning market, with Forsen reclaiming the personal best crown on May 6 via a 14:18 Any% RSG run that shaved nine seconds off xQc’s January mark of 14:27. Recent developments show xQc reigniting his grind with dedicated streams this month, including a May 13 session, as he hunts for the record while citing his lower total practice hours compared to Forsen’s deeper investment. Community buzz on Twitch and social platforms amplifies every PB attempt, turning seed luck and execution into viral moments that sway momentum. Historical patterns in the duo’s back-and-forth since 2020 highlight how quickly a hot streak or strong overworld segment can flip the leaderboard, though the high-variance nature of 1.16.1 runs keeps outcomes unpredictable. Traders are watching upcoming live sessions and VOD-verified times for the next catalyst that could shift implied probabilities ahead of any resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 14:18.375 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xQc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,090
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 10:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 14:18.375 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xQc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 14:18.375 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xQc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing rivalry between xQc and Forsen continues to drive trader sentiment in this Minecraft speedrunning market, with Forsen reclaiming the personal best crown on May 6 via a 14:18 Any% RSG run that shaved nine seconds off xQc’s January mark of 14:27. Recent developments show xQc reigniting his grind with dedicated streams this month, including a May 13 session, as he hunts for the record while citing his lower total practice hours compared to Forsen’s deeper investment. Community buzz on Twitch and social platforms amplifies every PB attempt, turning seed luck and execution into viral moments that sway momentum. Historical patterns in the duo’s back-and-forth since 2020 highlight how quickly a hot streak or strong overworld segment can flip the leaderboard, though the high-variance nature of 1.16.1 runs keeps outcomes unpredictable. Traders are watching upcoming live sessions and VOD-verified times for the next catalyst that could shift implied probabilities ahead of any resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 14:18.375 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xQc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,090
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 10:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 14:18.375 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xQc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 50%, followed by "May 31" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" has generated $13.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" is "June 30" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 31" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.