FIFA's expanded VAR protocol for the 2026 World Cup, featuring reviews of wrongly awarded corner kicks, clearly incorrect second yellow cards, and mistaken identity cases alongside AI-assisted offside technology, stands as the dominant driver of expected intervention volume. The 48-team format produces 104 matches, well above prior editions, multiplying opportunities for checks while protocols emphasize rapid resolution to limit delays. Early group-stage action already showed active use, including a historic mistaken-identity overturn in the United States versus Paraguay fixture. Historical benchmarks from 2022 (25 overturns) and 2018 (around 17) provide context, though the widened remit and larger officiating team could elevate totals if reviews remain frequent without triggering excessive stoppages. Weather, high-stakes knockout matches, and referee adaptation will further shape final counts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCopa do Mundo: Número de Derrubadas DE Decisão do VaR
5+ Overturns
99%
10+ Overturns
97%
15+ Overturns
96%
20+ Overturns
86%
$1,396 Vol.
5+ Overturns
99%
10+ Overturns
97%
15+ Overturns
96%
20+ Overturns
86%
A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...FIFA's expanded VAR protocol for the 2026 World Cup, featuring reviews of wrongly awarded corner kicks, clearly incorrect second yellow cards, and mistaken identity cases alongside AI-assisted offside technology, stands as the dominant driver of expected intervention volume. The 48-team format produces 104 matches, well above prior editions, multiplying opportunities for checks while protocols emphasize rapid resolution to limit delays. Early group-stage action already showed active use, including a historic mistaken-identity overturn in the United States versus Paraguay fixture. Historical benchmarks from 2022 (25 overturns) and 2018 (around 17) provide context, though the widened remit and larger officiating team could elevate totals if reviews remain frequent without triggering excessive stoppages. Weather, high-stakes knockout matches, and referee adaptation will further shape final counts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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