Choo Mi-ae secured the Democratic Party nomination for Gyeonggi Province governor in early April after winning a primary against challengers including incumbent Kim Dong-yeon and Han Jun-ho, positioning her as the ruling party's standard-bearer in South Korea's most populous province ahead of the June 3 local elections. Traders assign her a 96.4 percent implied probability, reflecting the party's structural advantages in Gyeonggi, her established profile on judicial reform and economic policy, and recent campaign emphasis on semiconductor infrastructure and regional development. The main opposition People Power Party's May nomination of Yang Hyang-ja sets up a historic female matchup, yet current pricing shows limited scope for shifts. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout changes, or unexpected policy reversals could still alter outcomes before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMarket sharply downgrades Yang Hyang-ja's chances in Gyeonggi gubernatorial race
Yang Hyang-ja plunges to 1%49%
On May 12, 2026, Yang Hyang-ja's market price plummeted from 50% to near 0%, indicating a loss of viability or withdrawal from the race, significantly impacting the market dynamics and consolidating support for Choo Mi-ae.
Choo Mi-ae's support surges amid political stabilization in South Korea
Choo Mi-ae surges to 92%20%
Following the political turmoil, Choo Mi-ae's market price sharply increased to 92%, reflecting growing confidence in her candidacy as the political environment stabilized and voters consolidated support around her.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы