Arkansas's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Tom Cotton secured the Republican nomination easily in the March primaries against limited opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged as her party's standard-bearer in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 2008. Recent polling averages reflect double-digit Republican leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still narrow the gap, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable Arkansas contests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Арканзаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Арканзаса
$13,754 Объем
$13,754 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
94%
Демократ
4%
$13,754 Объем
$13,754 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$9,987 Объем
94%
Демократ
$3,767 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Arkansas's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Tom Cotton secured the Republican nomination easily in the March primaries against limited opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged as her party's standard-bearer in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 2008. Recent polling averages reflect double-digit Republican leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still narrow the gap, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable Arkansas contests.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$13,754Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Arkansas's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Tom Cotton secured the Republican nomination easily in the March primaries against limited opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged as her party's standard-bearer in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 2008. Recent polling averages reflect double-digit Republican leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still narrow the gap, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable Arkansas contests.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$13,754Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arkansas's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Tom Cotton secured the Republican nomination easily in the March primaries against limited opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged as her party's standard-bearer in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 2008. Recent polling averages reflect double-digit Republican leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still narrow the gap, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable Arkansas contests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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