Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary due to his early Trump endorsement, prior statewide name recognition from a 2024 U.S. Senate bid, and consistent polling strength among likely primary voters. As the former Pinal County sheriff, Lamb benefits from law enforcement endorsements and broad appeal across conservative factions in the open seat race to succeed Rep. Andy Biggs. The July 21 primary remains several weeks away, leaving room for late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal, unexpected fundraising surge by challengers like Travis Grantham or Jay Feely, or unforeseen controversies to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМарк Лэмб 95.2%
Трэвис Грэнтэм 2.8%
Джей Фили <1%
$47,624 Объем
$47,624 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
Марк Лэмб
95%
Трэвис Грэнтэм
3%
Джей Фили
<1%
Марк Лэмб 95.2%
Трэвис Грэнтэм 2.8%
Джей Фили <1%
$47,624 Объем
$47,624 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
Марк Лэмб
$4,405 Объем
95%
Трэвис Грэнтэм
$1,365 Объем
3%
Джей Фили
$41,854 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary due to his early Trump endorsement, prior statewide name recognition from a 2024 U.S. Senate bid, and consistent polling strength among likely primary voters. As the former Pinal County sheriff, Lamb benefits from law enforcement endorsements and broad appeal across conservative factions in the open seat race to succeed Rep. Andy Biggs. The July 21 primary remains several weeks away, leaving room for late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal, unexpected fundraising surge by challengers like Travis Grantham or Jay Feely, or unforeseen controversies to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$47,624Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary due to his early Trump endorsement, prior statewide name recognition from a 2024 U.S. Senate bid, and consistent polling strength among likely primary voters. As the former Pinal County sheriff, Lamb benefits from law enforcement endorsements and broad appeal across conservative factions in the open seat race to succeed Rep. Andy Biggs. The July 21 primary remains several weeks away, leaving room for late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal, unexpected fundraising surge by challengers like Travis Grantham or Jay Feely, or unforeseen controversies to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$47,624Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary due to his early Trump endorsement, prior statewide name recognition from a 2024 U.S. Senate bid, and consistent polling strength among likely primary voters. As the former Pinal County sheriff, Lamb benefits from law enforcement endorsements and broad appeal across conservative factions in the open seat race to succeed Rep. Andy Biggs. The July 21 primary remains several weeks away, leaving room for late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal, unexpected fundraising surge by challengers like Travis Grantham or Jay Feely, or unforeseen controversies to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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