The proposal to impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires has advanced toward the November 2026 ballot after backers submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April, nearly double the required threshold. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 63.5% reflects mounting opposition from business groups and elected officials, including Governor Gavin Newsom, alongside analyses projecting substantial out-migration of high-net-worth residents and limited net revenue gains once income-tax losses are factored in. Competing ballot measures backed by opponents are also emerging to dilute support. These dynamics, combined with historical voter caution on novel tax structures and ongoing federal funding pressures cited by proponents, have shaped current market pricing around the measure’s uncertain path to approval.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$3,285,996 Объем
$3,285,996 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
$3,285,996 Объем
$3,285,996 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The proposal to impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires has advanced toward the November 2026 ballot after backers submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April, nearly double the required threshold. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 63.5% reflects mounting opposition from business groups and elected officials, including Governor Gavin Newsom, alongside analyses projecting substantial out-migration of high-net-worth residents and limited net revenue gains once income-tax losses are factored in. Competing ballot measures backed by opponents are also emerging to dilute support. These dynamics, combined with historical voter caution on novel tax structures and ongoing federal funding pressures cited by proponents, have shaped current market pricing around the measure’s uncertain path to approval.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Объем
$3,285,996Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The proposal to impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires has advanced toward the November 2026 ballot after backers submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April, nearly double the required threshold. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 63.5% reflects mounting opposition from business groups and elected officials, including Governor Gavin Newsom, alongside analyses projecting substantial out-migration of high-net-worth residents and limited net revenue gains once income-tax losses are factored in. Competing ballot measures backed by opponents are also emerging to dilute support. These dynamics, combined with historical voter caution on novel tax structures and ongoing federal funding pressures cited by proponents, have shaped current market pricing around the measure’s uncertain path to approval.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,285,996Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The proposal to impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires has advanced toward the November 2026 ballot after backers submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April, nearly double the required threshold. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 63.5% reflects mounting opposition from business groups and elected officials, including Governor Gavin Newsom, alongside analyses projecting substantial out-migration of high-net-worth residents and limited net revenue gains once income-tax losses are factored in. Competing ballot measures backed by opponents are also emerging to dilute support. These dynamics, combined with historical voter caution on novel tax structures and ongoing federal funding pressures cited by proponents, have shaped current market pricing around the measure’s uncertain path to approval.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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