Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest features a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia, with recent polls showing no candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a June 21 runoff. Historical first-round turnout has consistently fallen in the 54-57 percent range among roughly 41.5 million registered voters, and current modeling projects participation near 55 percent. Traders appear to view the competitive yet non-polarizing environment as unlikely to produce either unusually high mobilization or widespread abstention. No major last-minute developments, such as scandals or security incidents, have emerged in the final weeks to shift these baseline expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено54-57% 63%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
<48%
4%
48-51%
9%
51-54%
18%
54-57%
63%
57-60%
14%
60%+
17%
54-57% 63%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
<48%
$436 Объем
4%
48-51%
$428 Объем
9%
51-54%
$420 Объем
18%
54-57%
$441 Объем
63%
57-60%
$420 Объем
14%
60%+
$489 Объем
17%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest features a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia, with recent polls showing no candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a June 21 runoff. Historical first-round turnout has consistently fallen in the 54-57 percent range among roughly 41.5 million registered voters, and current modeling projects participation near 55 percent. Traders appear to view the competitive yet non-polarizing environment as unlikely to produce either unusually high mobilization or widespread abstention. No major last-minute developments, such as scandals or security incidents, have emerged in the final weeks to shift these baseline expectations.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Объем
$2,634Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest features a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia, with recent polls showing no candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a June 21 runoff. Historical first-round turnout has consistently fallen in the 54-57 percent range among roughly 41.5 million registered voters, and current modeling projects participation near 55 percent. Traders appear to view the competitive yet non-polarizing environment as unlikely to produce either unusually high mobilization or widespread abstention. No major last-minute developments, such as scandals or security incidents, have emerged in the final weeks to shift these baseline expectations.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$2,634Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest features a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia, with recent polls showing no candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a June 21 runoff. Historical first-round turnout has consistently fallen in the 54-57 percent range among roughly 41.5 million registered voters, and current modeling projects participation near 55 percent. Traders appear to view the competitive yet non-polarizing environment as unlikely to produce either unusually high mobilization or widespread abstention. No major last-minute developments, such as scandals or security incidents, have emerged in the final weeks to shift these baseline expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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