With the May 24 parliamentary elections just 11 days away under Cyprus's proportional representation system for 56 House of Representatives seats, trader consensus heavily favors DISY at 78.5% implied probability of securing the most seats, driven by its consistent narrow lead in the latest polls amid extreme field fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across 19 lists. Recent IMR/Unic (May 11) and Analytica (May 8) surveys show DISY at 19-23% versus AKEL's 18-21%, with ELAM, ALMA, and DIKO trailing far behind, boosting DISY's path to plurality despite a tight seat projection race (e.g., PolitPro aggregate: DISY 14 seats to AKEL's 14). A polls ban after May 16 adds uncertainty, but no major shifts have emerged in the past week beyond overseas polling station announcements. AKEL's 22% reflects its competitiveness, while smaller parties like ELAM (0.8%) face steep barriers to topping the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей Кипра
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей Кипра
ДИСИ 79%
АКЕЛ 22%
ЭЛАМ <1%
KOSP <1%
$32,591 Объем
$32,591 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
ДИСИ
79%
АКЕЛ
22%
ЭЛАМ
1%
KOSP
<1%
ДИПA
<1%
ДИКО
<1%
VOLT
<1%
ЭДЕК
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
ДИСИ 79%
АКЕЛ 22%
ЭЛАМ <1%
KOSP <1%
$32,591 Объем
$32,591 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
ДИСИ
$7,791 Объем
79%
АКЕЛ
$4,592 Объем
22%
ЭЛАМ
$3,588 Объем
1%
KOSP
$2,313 Объем
<1%
ДИПA
$2,149 Объем
<1%
ДИКО
$3,435 Объем
<1%
VOLT
$2,400 Объем
<1%
ЭДЕК
$3,473 Объем
<1%
DNM (DEK)
$2,850 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).With the May 24 parliamentary elections just 11 days away under Cyprus's proportional representation system for 56 House of Representatives seats, trader consensus heavily favors DISY at 78.5% implied probability of securing the most seats, driven by its consistent narrow lead in the latest polls amid extreme field fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across 19 lists. Recent IMR/Unic (May 11) and Analytica (May 8) surveys show DISY at 19-23% versus AKEL's 18-21%, with ELAM, ALMA, and DIKO trailing far behind, boosting DISY's path to plurality despite a tight seat projection race (e.g., PolitPro aggregate: DISY 14 seats to AKEL's 14). A polls ban after May 16 adds uncertainty, but no major shifts have emerged in the past week beyond overseas polling station announcements. AKEL's 22% reflects its competitiveness, while smaller parties like ELAM (0.8%) face steep barriers to topping the field.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Объем
$32,591Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).With the May 24 parliamentary elections just 11 days away under Cyprus's proportional representation system for 56 House of Representatives seats, trader consensus heavily favors DISY at 78.5% implied probability of securing the most seats, driven by its consistent narrow lead in the latest polls amid extreme field fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across 19 lists. Recent IMR/Unic (May 11) and Analytica (May 8) surveys show DISY at 19-23% versus AKEL's 18-21%, with ELAM, ALMA, and DIKO trailing far behind, boosting DISY's path to plurality despite a tight seat projection race (e.g., PolitPro aggregate: DISY 14 seats to AKEL's 14). A polls ban after May 16 adds uncertainty, but no major shifts have emerged in the past week beyond overseas polling station announcements. AKEL's 22% reflects its competitiveness, while smaller parties like ELAM (0.8%) face steep barriers to topping the field.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Объем
$32,591Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the May 24 parliamentary elections just 11 days away under Cyprus's proportional representation system for 56 House of Representatives seats, trader consensus heavily favors DISY at 78.5% implied probability of securing the most seats, driven by its consistent narrow lead in the latest polls amid extreme field fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across 19 lists. Recent IMR/Unic (May 11) and Analytica (May 8) surveys show DISY at 19-23% versus AKEL's 18-21%, with ELAM, ALMA, and DIKO trailing far behind, boosting DISY's path to plurality despite a tight seat projection race (e.g., PolitPro aggregate: DISY 14 seats to AKEL's 14). A polls ban after May 16 adds uncertainty, but no major shifts have emerged in the past week beyond overseas polling station announcements. AKEL's 22% reflects its competitiveness, while smaller parties like ELAM (0.8%) face steep barriers to topping the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы