Deep Fission’s May 2026 Nasdaq IPO filing, targeting $24–$26 per share for up to $157 million and a roughly $1.66 billion valuation, drives the market’s 68% implied probability for a closing market cap below $1.25 billion. Skepticism from pre-revenue status, a prior non-trading SPAC reverse merger, and questions around its mile-deep borehole SMR design for AI data-center power have tempered trader sentiment despite DOE Reactor Pilot Program selection and Kansas site progress. Recent reports of a possible repricing to $16–$18 suggest further downside pressure, while the 17.8% odds on no IPO before August reflect ongoing roadshow and regulatory timing uncertainty in a competitive advanced nuclear sector.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоDeep Fission IPO Closing Market Cap
<$1.25B 68.0%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.75B–$2.0B 14.0%
$1.5B–$1.75B 7%
$19,012 Объем
$19,012 Объем
<$1.25B
68%
$1.25B–$1.5B
8%
$1.5B–$1.75B
7%
$1.75B–$2.0B
8%
$2.0B–$2.5B
9%
$2.5B–$3.0B
23%
$3.0B+
18%
No IPO before August 2026
15%
<$1.25B 68.0%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.75B–$2.0B 14.0%
$1.5B–$1.75B 7%
$19,012 Объем
$19,012 Объем
<$1.25B
68%
$1.25B–$1.5B
8%
$1.5B–$1.75B
7%
$1.75B–$2.0B
8%
$2.0B–$2.5B
9%
$2.5B–$3.0B
23%
$3.0B+
18%
No IPO before August 2026
15%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Deep Fission’s May 2026 Nasdaq IPO filing, targeting $24–$26 per share for up to $157 million and a roughly $1.66 billion valuation, drives the market’s 68% implied probability for a closing market cap below $1.25 billion. Skepticism from pre-revenue status, a prior non-trading SPAC reverse merger, and questions around its mile-deep borehole SMR design for AI data-center power have tempered trader sentiment despite DOE Reactor Pilot Program selection and Kansas site progress. Recent reports of a possible repricing to $16–$18 suggest further downside pressure, while the 17.8% odds on no IPO before August reflect ongoing roadshow and regulatory timing uncertainty in a competitive advanced nuclear sector.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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