**Trump's established Truth Social activity as president centers on an average of 18–19 posts per day across 2025 and early 2026, producing roughly 144–152 posts over an eight-day window like June 19–26.** This baseline, drawn from comprehensive tallies of his platform output, aligns closely with the market's leading ranges of 120–139, 100–119, and 140–159 posts. Traders price these outcomes highest because they match the president's documented cadence of original posts, reposts, and commentary on policy, media links, and political developments. Outlier days with 100+ posts occur during intense news cycles—such as market volatility or partisan exchanges—but remain infrequent enough that sustained spikes across a full week are viewed as less probable. The distribution of probabilities across adjacent buckets reflects this consistency tempered by modest day-to-day variation, with lower odds assigned to extremes below 80 or above 180. No major scheduled events or breaking developments in the immediate window appear positioned to drive sustained deviation from the observed mean.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено120-139 20%
100-119 14%
140-159 13%
80-99 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 июн. 2026 г.
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
4%
60-79
10%
80-99
12%
100-119
14%
120-139
20%
140-159
13%
160-179
10%
180-199
12%
200+
9%
120-139 20%
100-119 14%
140-159 13%
80-99 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 июн. 2026 г.
<20
$2,000 Объем
<1%
20-39
$278 Объем
1%
40-59
$50 Объем
4%
60-79
$0 Объем
10%
80-99
$0 Объем
12%
100-119
$6 Объем
14%
120-139
$0 Объем
20%
140-159
$0 Объем
13%
160-179
$0 Объем
10%
180-199
$0 Объем
12%
200+
$0 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trump's established Truth Social activity as president centers on an average of 18–19 posts per day across 2025 and early 2026, producing roughly 144–152 posts over an eight-day window like June 19–26.** This baseline, drawn from comprehensive tallies of his platform output, aligns closely with the market's leading ranges of 120–139, 100–119, and 140–159 posts. Traders price these outcomes highest because they match the president's documented cadence of original posts, reposts, and commentary on policy, media links, and political developments.
Outlier days with 100+ posts occur during intense news cycles—such as market volatility or partisan exchanges—but remain infrequent enough that sustained spikes across a full week are viewed as less probable. The distribution of probabilities across adjacent buckets reflects this consistency tempered by modest day-to-day variation, with lower odds assigned to extremes below 80 or above 180. No major scheduled events or breaking developments in the immediate window appear positioned to drive sustained deviation from the observed mean.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$2,334Дата окончания
26 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trump's established Truth Social activity as president centers on an average of 18–19 posts per day across 2025 and early 2026, producing roughly 144–152 posts over an eight-day window like June 19–26.** This baseline, drawn from comprehensive tallies of his platform output, aligns closely with the market's leading ranges of 120–139, 100–119, and 140–159 posts. Traders price these outcomes highest because they match the president's documented cadence of original posts, reposts, and commentary on policy, media links, and political developments.
Outlier days with 100+ posts occur during intense news cycles—such as market volatility or partisan exchanges—but remain infrequent enough that sustained spikes across a full week are viewed as less probable. The distribution of probabilities across adjacent buckets reflects this consistency tempered by modest day-to-day variation, with lower odds assigned to extremes below 80 or above 180. No major scheduled events or breaking developments in the immediate window appear positioned to drive sustained deviation from the observed mean.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$2,334Дата окончания
26 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trump's established Truth Social activity as president centers on an average of 18–19 posts per day across 2025 and early 2026, producing roughly 144–152 posts over an eight-day window like June 19–26.** This baseline, drawn from comprehensive tallies of his platform output, aligns closely with the market's leading ranges of 120–139, 100–119, and 140–159 posts. Traders price these outcomes highest because they match the president's documented cadence of original posts, reposts, and commentary on policy, media links, and political developments. Outlier days with 100+ posts occur during intense news cycles—such as market volatility or partisan exchanges—but remain infrequent enough that sustained spikes across a full week are viewed as less probable. The distribution of probabilities across adjacent buckets reflects this consistency tempered by modest day-to-day variation, with lower odds assigned to extremes below 80 or above 180. No major scheduled events or breaking developments in the immediate window appear positioned to drive sustained deviation from the observed mean.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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