Trump's established posting rhythm on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18 entries daily through April and into May 2026, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ outcome at 56.5 percent for the May 15–22 window. Recent overnight bursts exceeding 50 posts in single sessions, often tied to congressional proceedings, diplomatic signals, and responses to domestic policy developments, sustain expectations of elevated volume. The 140–159 and 160–179 brackets at 24 percent and 19 percent reflect uncertainty around whether sustained news-cycle engagement will push totals higher or settle near baseline levels. Lower ranges remain discounted given the absence of extended quiet periods and the platform's role in real-time commentary on executive actions and political events.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДональд Трамп # Правда Социальные посты 15 мая - 22 мая 2026 года?
Дональд Трамп # Правда Социальные посты 15 мая - 22 мая 2026 года?
200+ 58%
140-159 13%
180-199 12.6%
120-139 12%
$20,715 Объем
$20,715 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
60–79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
12%
140-159
18%
160-179
8%
180-199
13%
200+
59%
200+ 58%
140-159 13%
180-199 12.6%
120-139 12%
$20,715 Объем
$20,715 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
60–79
$1,317 Объем
<1%
80-99
$3,871 Объем
<1%
100-119
$1,237 Объем
1%
120-139
$1,084 Объем
12%
140-159
$483 Объем
18%
160-179
$352 Объем
8%
180-199
$557 Объем
13%
200+
$941 Объем
59%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established posting rhythm on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18 entries daily through April and into May 2026, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ outcome at 56.5 percent for the May 15–22 window. Recent overnight bursts exceeding 50 posts in single sessions, often tied to congressional proceedings, diplomatic signals, and responses to domestic policy developments, sustain expectations of elevated volume. The 140–159 and 160–179 brackets at 24 percent and 19 percent reflect uncertainty around whether sustained news-cycle engagement will push totals higher or settle near baseline levels. Lower ranges remain discounted given the absence of extended quiet periods and the platform's role in real-time commentary on executive actions and political events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$20,715Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established posting rhythm on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18 entries daily through April and into May 2026, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ outcome at 56.5 percent for the May 15–22 window. Recent overnight bursts exceeding 50 posts in single sessions, often tied to congressional proceedings, diplomatic signals, and responses to domestic policy developments, sustain expectations of elevated volume. The 140–159 and 160–179 brackets at 24 percent and 19 percent reflect uncertainty around whether sustained news-cycle engagement will push totals higher or settle near baseline levels. Lower ranges remain discounted given the absence of extended quiet periods and the platform's role in real-time commentary on executive actions and political events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$20,715Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established posting rhythm on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18 entries daily through April and into May 2026, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ outcome at 56.5 percent for the May 15–22 window. Recent overnight bursts exceeding 50 posts in single sessions, often tied to congressional proceedings, diplomatic signals, and responses to domestic policy developments, sustain expectations of elevated volume. The 140–159 and 160–179 brackets at 24 percent and 19 percent reflect uncertainty around whether sustained news-cycle engagement will push totals higher or settle near baseline levels. Lower ranges remain discounted given the absence of extended quiet periods and the platform's role in real-time commentary on executive actions and political events.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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