Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500, P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending FY2026 funding levels through December 11, 2026, for all 12 regular appropriations accounts. Strong bipartisan votes—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflected both parties’ shared interest in avoiding another pre-election funding gap after extended lapses earlier in FY2026. With the measure already law weeks before the September 30 deadline, agencies face no immediate appropriations lapse on October 1. The only realistic paths to a lapse would require congressional repeal or an unforeseen legal invalidation before that date, both viewed as remote given the bill’s recent enactment and broad support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФедеральные ассигнования истекают 1 октября?
Федеральные ассигнования истекают 1 октября?
1% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 окт. 2026 г.
1% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 окт. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500, P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending FY2026 funding levels through December 11, 2026, for all 12 regular appropriations accounts. Strong bipartisan votes—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflected both parties’ shared interest in avoiding another pre-election funding gap after extended lapses earlier in FY2026. With the measure already law weeks before the September 30 deadline, agencies face no immediate appropriations lapse on October 1. The only realistic paths to a lapse would require congressional repeal or an unforeseen legal invalidation before that date, both viewed as remote given the bill’s recent enactment and broad support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,191Дата окончания
2 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500, P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending FY2026 funding levels through December 11, 2026, for all 12 regular appropriations accounts. Strong bipartisan votes—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflected both parties’ shared interest in avoiding another pre-election funding gap after extended lapses earlier in FY2026. With the measure already law weeks before the September 30 deadline, agencies face no immediate appropriations lapse on October 1. The only realistic paths to a lapse would require congressional repeal or an unforeseen legal invalidation before that date, both viewed as remote given the bill’s recent enactment and broad support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,191Дата окончания
2 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500, P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending FY2026 funding levels through December 11, 2026, for all 12 regular appropriations accounts. Strong bipartisan votes—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflected both parties’ shared interest in avoiding another pre-election funding gap after extended lapses earlier in FY2026. With the measure already law weeks before the September 30 deadline, agencies face no immediate appropriations lapse on October 1. The only realistic paths to a lapse would require congressional repeal or an unforeseen legal invalidation before that date, both viewed as remote given the bill’s recent enactment and broad support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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