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Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

icon for Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Fernando Dias da Costa 30.1%

Siga Batista 7.9%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló 4.3%

Honório Augusto Lopes 3.7%

Polymarket

$327,777 Объем

Fernando Dias da Costa 30.1%

Siga Batista 7.9%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló 4.3%

Honório Augusto Lopes 3.7%

Polymarket

$327,777 Объем

Fernando Dias da Costa

$54,942 Объем

16%

Siga Batista

$22,880 Объем

8%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló

$88,668 Объем

4%

Honório Augusto Lopes

$18,309 Объем

4%

João de Deus Mendes

$16,793 Объем

4%

Baciro Djá

$14,412 Объем

3%

Gabriel Fernando Indi

$19,172 Объем

3%

João Bernardo Vieira

$16,630 Объем

2%

Mário da Silva Júnior

$18,236 Объем

2%

Herculano Armando Bequinsa

$16,012 Объем

2%

Mamadu Iaia Djaló

$19,675 Объем

1%

José Mário Vaz

$22,046 Объем

<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 presidential election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition following the military’s November 2025 intervention that halted vote tabulation in the prior contest between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Both sides had claimed victory before official results could be certified, after which the junta installed a transitional government under Horta Inta-A Na Man and scheduled new polls for December. The fragmented field reflects ongoing restrictions on major parties such as PAIGC, unresolved detentions of opposition figures, and the absence of consolidated polling data. Trader consensus remains dispersed because no candidate has secured broad alliances or clear momentum under the transitional charter, while ECOWAS and AU engagement continues to emphasize inclusive preparations ahead of the December vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$327,777
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 presidential election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition following the military’s November 2025 intervention that halted vote tabulation in the prior contest between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Both sides had claimed victory before official results could be certified, after which the junta installed a transitional government under Horta Inta-A Na Man and scheduled new polls for December. The fragmented field reflects ongoing restrictions on major parties such as PAIGC, unresolved detentions of opposition figures, and the absence of consolidated polling data. Trader consensus remains dispersed because no candidate has secured broad alliances or clear momentum under the transitional charter, while ECOWAS and AU engagement continues to emphasize inclusive preparations ahead of the December vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$327,777
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Fernando Dias da Costa» с 16%, за ним следует «Siga Batista» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 16¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 16%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $327.8K с момента запуска рынка Nov 6, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election» — «Fernando Dias da Costa» с 16%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 16%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Siga Batista» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.