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icon for Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?

25°C 52%

26°C 23%

24°C 18%

23°C 3.6%

Polymarket

$37,290 Объем

25°C 52%

26°C 23%

24°C 18%

23°C 3.6%

Polymarket

$37,290 Объем

20°C или ниже

$2,749 Объем

<1%

21°C

$2,639 Объем

<1%

22°C

$1,959 Объем

1%

23°C

$7,090 Объем

4%

24°C

$5,942 Объем

18%

25°C

$5,539 Объем

52%

26°C

$5,295 Объем

25%

27°C

$1,791 Объем

<1%

28°C

$964 Объем

<1%

29°C

$566 Объем

<1%

30°C или выше

$2,756 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 5, 2026, as high pressure and light easterly flow moderate after earlier heatwave conditions. Model consensus shows daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and slightly cooler advection, keeping maxima below the seasonal extreme of 32°C recorded historically on this date. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 52%, with 26°C and 24°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of peak insolation and local urban heat island effects. Updated model runs and KNMI observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$37,290
Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 5, 2026, as high pressure and light easterly flow moderate after earlier heatwave conditions. Model consensus shows daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and slightly cooler advection, keeping maxima below the seasonal extreme of 32°C recorded historically on this date. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 52%, with 26°C and 24°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of peak insolation and local urban heat island effects. Updated model runs and KNMI observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$37,290
Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25°C» с 52%, за ним следует «26°C» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 52¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $37.3K с момента запуска рынка Aug 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?» — «25°C» с 52%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Следующий ближайший исход — «26°C» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.