Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Jinan will experience typical mid-August summer conditions on August 14, with daytime highs projected near 29–32°C amid a persistent warm, humid air mass over eastern China. Recent observations across Shandong show sustained temperatures well above seasonal baselines, reinforced by stable high-pressure patterns that limit cooling from precipitation or northerly flow. This scientific consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Only an unexpected cold-front intrusion or model error shifting the thermal ridge could realistically lower the peak below threshold, though current ensemble guidance shows low odds of such deviation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 14 августа?
26°C or higher 99.4%
24°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
24°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Jinan will experience typical mid-August summer conditions on August 14, with daytime highs projected near 29–32°C amid a persistent warm, humid air mass over eastern China. Recent observations across Shandong show sustained temperatures well above seasonal baselines, reinforced by stable high-pressure patterns that limit cooling from precipitation or northerly flow. This scientific consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Only an unexpected cold-front intrusion or model error shifting the thermal ridge could realistically lower the peak below threshold, though current ensemble guidance shows low odds of such deviation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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