Jinan’s mid-August subtropical climate, driven by peak solar insolation and regional monsoon patterns, produces typical daily maximum temperatures of 30–34 °C according to NOAA-aligned climatology and recent China Meteorological Administration observations. Multiple forecast models and agency briefings for 16 August 2026 consistently project highs near 31–33 °C, well above the 26 °C threshold, with ongoing regional heat advisories reinforcing the pattern. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Only an unseasonal cold-front intrusion or major observational revision could alter the outcome, both of which are climatologically improbable on this date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Цзинане 16 августа?
26°C или выше 100.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
100%
26°C или выше 100.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$20 Объем
<1%
17°C
$20 Объем
<1%
18°C
$20 Объем
<1%
19°C
$20 Объем
<1%
20°C
$20 Объем
<1%
21°C
$20 Объем
<1%
22°C
$20 Объем
<1%
23°C
$20 Объем
<1%
24°C
$100 Объем
<1%
25°C
$216 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$472 Объем
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s mid-August subtropical climate, driven by peak solar insolation and regional monsoon patterns, produces typical daily maximum temperatures of 30–34 °C according to NOAA-aligned climatology and recent China Meteorological Administration observations. Multiple forecast models and agency briefings for 16 August 2026 consistently project highs near 31–33 °C, well above the 26 °C threshold, with ongoing regional heat advisories reinforcing the pattern. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Only an unseasonal cold-front intrusion or major observational revision could alter the outcome, both of which are climatologically improbable on this date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Объем
$948Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s mid-August subtropical climate, driven by peak solar insolation and regional monsoon patterns, produces typical daily maximum temperatures of 30–34 °C according to NOAA-aligned climatology and recent China Meteorological Administration observations. Multiple forecast models and agency briefings for 16 August 2026 consistently project highs near 31–33 °C, well above the 26 °C threshold, with ongoing regional heat advisories reinforcing the pattern. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Only an unseasonal cold-front intrusion or major observational revision could alter the outcome, both of which are climatologically improbable on this date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$948Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jinan’s mid-August subtropical climate, driven by peak solar insolation and regional monsoon patterns, produces typical daily maximum temperatures of 30–34 °C according to NOAA-aligned climatology and recent China Meteorological Administration observations. Multiple forecast models and agency briefings for 16 August 2026 consistently project highs near 31–33 °C, well above the 26 °C threshold, with ongoing regional heat advisories reinforcing the pattern. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Only an unseasonal cold-front intrusion or major observational revision could alter the outcome, both of which are climatologically improbable on this date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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