Strong consensus from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including projections of daytime maxima around 29–32°C, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 30. Late-August climatology for Shandong province, featuring warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports these elevated readings, consistent with recent observed highs near 30°C and seasonal baselines well above the threshold. Forecasters note minimal model spread and low precipitation risk, reinforcing trader confidence in the outcome. An unexpected cold front or persistent overcast conditions could theoretically suppress temperatures, though current guidance indicates such scenarios remain unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Цзинане 30 августа?
26°C or higher 96.8%
24°C 7%
25°C 5%
16°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 96.8%
24°C 7%
25°C 5%
16°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$1,275 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,275 Объем
<1%
18°C
$1,265 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,265 Объем
<1%
20°C
$315 Объем
<1%
21°C
$320 Объем
<1%
22°C
$313 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,043 Объем
<1%
24°C
$0 Объем
7%
25°C
$0 Объем
5%
26°C or higher
$607 Объем
97%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including projections of daytime maxima around 29–32°C, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 30. Late-August climatology for Shandong province, featuring warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports these elevated readings, consistent with recent observed highs near 30°C and seasonal baselines well above the threshold. Forecasters note minimal model spread and low precipitation risk, reinforcing trader confidence in the outcome. An unexpected cold front or persistent overcast conditions could theoretically suppress temperatures, though current guidance indicates such scenarios remain unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$7,677Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including projections of daytime maxima around 29–32°C, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 30. Late-August climatology for Shandong province, featuring warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports these elevated readings, consistent with recent observed highs near 30°C and seasonal baselines well above the threshold. Forecasters note minimal model spread and low precipitation risk, reinforcing trader confidence in the outcome. An unexpected cold front or persistent overcast conditions could theoretically suppress temperatures, though current guidance indicates such scenarios remain unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,677Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Strong consensus from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including projections of daytime maxima around 29–32°C, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 30. Late-August climatology for Shandong province, featuring warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports these elevated readings, consistent with recent observed highs near 30°C and seasonal baselines well above the threshold. Forecasters note minimal model spread and low precipitation risk, reinforcing trader confidence in the outcome. An unexpected cold front or persistent overcast conditions could theoretically suppress temperatures, though current guidance indicates such scenarios remain unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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