Recent forecasts from multiple models place Zhengzhou’s August 30 maximum near 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of scattered showers. Earlier seasonal warmth and model runs showing brief peaks near 32 °C sustain the leading market-implied odds for 32 °C or higher, while official guidance and observed cooling from northerly flow have lifted probabilities for 29–31 °C outcomes. Humidity near 50 % and limited diurnal mixing reduce the likelihood of extreme readings, though lingering model spread keeps lower thresholds priced modestly. Updated afternoon observations and any convective development will refine these ranges before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 30 августа?
32°C or higher 49%
30°C 47%
31°C 31%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
30%
30°C
28%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
49%
32°C or higher 49%
30°C 47%
31°C 31%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
30%
30°C
28%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Zhengzhou’s August 30 maximum near 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of scattered showers. Earlier seasonal warmth and model runs showing brief peaks near 32 °C sustain the leading market-implied odds for 32 °C or higher, while official guidance and observed cooling from northerly flow have lifted probabilities for 29–31 °C outcomes. Humidity near 50 % and limited diurnal mixing reduce the likelihood of extreme readings, though lingering model spread keeps lower thresholds priced modestly. Updated afternoon observations and any convective development will refine these ranges before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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