Persistent summer heat across northern China, driven by subtropical high-pressure systems and typical August climatology in Jinan, underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or above. Recent observations and short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services show daytime maxima consistently in the 31–38°C range through early August, with minimal cooling expected overnight or from transient cloud cover. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and national agencies reinforces this pattern, aligning with historical baselines where Jinan highs frequently exceed 35°C during peak monsoon-influenced summer. Only a sharp, unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation could realistically drop temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows no such shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Цзинане 9 августа?
26°C or higher 99.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$294 Объем
<1%
17°C
$255 Объем
<1%
18°C
$148 Объем
<1%
19°C
$279 Объем
<1%
20°C
$259 Объем
<1%
21°C
$259 Объем
<1%
22°C
$167 Объем
<1%
23°C
$264 Объем
<1%
24°C
$254 Объем
<1%
25°C
$186 Объем
<1%
26°C or higher
$777 Объем
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China, driven by subtropical high-pressure systems and typical August climatology in Jinan, underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or above. Recent observations and short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services show daytime maxima consistently in the 31–38°C range through early August, with minimal cooling expected overnight or from transient cloud cover. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and national agencies reinforces this pattern, aligning with historical baselines where Jinan highs frequently exceed 35°C during peak monsoon-influenced summer. Only a sharp, unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation could realistically drop temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows no such shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$3,143Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China, driven by subtropical high-pressure systems and typical August climatology in Jinan, underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or above. Recent observations and short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services show daytime maxima consistently in the 31–38°C range through early August, with minimal cooling expected overnight or from transient cloud cover. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and national agencies reinforces this pattern, aligning with historical baselines where Jinan highs frequently exceed 35°C during peak monsoon-influenced summer. Only a sharp, unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation could realistically drop temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows no such shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,143Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat across northern China, driven by subtropical high-pressure systems and typical August climatology in Jinan, underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or above. Recent observations and short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services show daytime maxima consistently in the 31–38°C range through early August, with minimal cooling expected overnight or from transient cloud cover. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and national agencies reinforces this pattern, aligning with historical baselines where Jinan highs frequently exceed 35°C during peak monsoon-influenced summer. Only a sharp, unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation could realistically drop temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows no such shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы