**Forecast models and observational data from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high in Jinan of 31–34°C on September 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating, and seasonal conditions that typically support late-summer maxima well above 26°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this range, consistent with historical September climatology for the region where daily highs often reach the low 30s under similar synoptic patterns. Light winds and minimal precipitation further favor peak temperatures during afternoon hours. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and real-time surface observations. Only an extreme, unforecasted shift—such as rapid advection of cooler air or persistent heavy cloud cover reducing insolation—could realistically push the official maximum below the threshold, scenarios not supported by current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Цзинане 17 сентября?
26°C или выше 99.8%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
100%
26°C или выше 99.8%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$25 Объем
<1%
17°C
$51 Объем
<1%
18°C
$91 Объем
<1%
19°C
$63 Объем
<1%
20°C
$26 Объем
<1%
21°C
$31 Объем
<1%
22°C
$26 Объем
<1%
23°C
$41 Объем
<1%
24°C
$16 Объем
<1%
25°C
$125 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$792 Объем
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high in Jinan of 31–34°C on September 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating, and seasonal conditions that typically support late-summer maxima well above 26°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this range, consistent with historical September climatology for the region where daily highs often reach the low 30s under similar synoptic patterns. Light winds and minimal precipitation further favor peak temperatures during afternoon hours. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and real-time surface observations. Only an extreme, unforecasted shift—such as rapid advection of cooler air or persistent heavy cloud cover reducing insolation—could realistically push the official maximum below the threshold, scenarios not supported by current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$1,286Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high in Jinan of 31–34°C on September 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating, and seasonal conditions that typically support late-summer maxima well above 26°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this range, consistent with historical September climatology for the region where daily highs often reach the low 30s under similar synoptic patterns. Light winds and minimal precipitation further favor peak temperatures during afternoon hours. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and real-time surface observations. Only an extreme, unforecasted shift—such as rapid advection of cooler air or persistent heavy cloud cover reducing insolation—could realistically push the official maximum below the threshold, scenarios not supported by current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,286Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high in Jinan of 31–34°C on September 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating, and seasonal conditions that typically support late-summer maxima well above 26°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this range, consistent with historical September climatology for the region where daily highs often reach the low 30s under similar synoptic patterns. Light winds and minimal precipitation further favor peak temperatures during afternoon hours. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and real-time surface observations. Only an extreme, unforecasted shift—such as rapid advection of cooler air or persistent heavy cloud cover reducing insolation—could realistically push the official maximum below the threshold, scenarios not supported by current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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