Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Mexico City's daily maximum on August 16 will likely fall in the 24–27°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters and the ongoing summer rainy season, featuring afternoon convection and cloud cover, typically suppress peak temperatures below lowland averages despite seasonal insolation. Model consensus shows modest warming from recent days' showers, with historical August maxima averaging 24–25°C and occasional spikes to 28°C under clearer conditions. Updated guidance on steering patterns and moisture will refine these estimates before the observation window closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 16 августа?
26°C 63%
27°C 27%
25°C 10%
28°C 2%
$8,384 Объем
$8,384 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
63%
27°C
27%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
26°C 63%
27°C 27%
25°C 10%
28°C 2%
$8,384 Объем
$8,384 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
63%
27°C
27%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Mexico City's daily maximum on August 16 will likely fall in the 24–27°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters and the ongoing summer rainy season, featuring afternoon convection and cloud cover, typically suppress peak temperatures below lowland averages despite seasonal insolation. Model consensus shows modest warming from recent days' showers, with historical August maxima averaging 24–25°C and occasional spikes to 28°C under clearer conditions. Updated guidance on steering patterns and moisture will refine these estimates before the observation window closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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