**Persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a broad upper-level trough advecting cooler maritime air have suppressed daytime heating in Moscow on August 13, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature well below the seasonal average of 22–24°C.** Official guidance from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models consistently project a peak near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly to northwesterly flow and intermittent light precipitation. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, anchoring the market-implied probability for 16°C at 55.5% while assigning 30.5% to 15°C and 11.5% to 17°C. Earlier August warmth, including peaks above 30°C in early-month heat spells, has given way to this cooler regime without recent model shifts that would favor higher readings. Resolution will depend on the highest verified station observation (typically Vnukovo or central Moscow), with any late clearing or delayed showers representing the main upside risks priced into the thin tails above 17°C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow, model-supported 15–17°C window most heavily.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 13 августа?
16°C 54%
15°C 31%
17°C 11%
14°C 8%
$22,841 Объем
$22,841 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
31%
16°C
54%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
16°C 54%
15°C 31%
17°C 11%
14°C 8%
$22,841 Объем
$22,841 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$1,547 Объем
<1%
13°C
$3,336 Объем
1%
14°C
$2,362 Объем
8%
15°C
$2,668 Объем
31%
16°C
$2,158 Объем
54%
17°C
$3,182 Объем
11%
18°C
$4,261 Объем
2%
19°C
$648 Объем
1%
20°C
$976 Объем
<1%
21°C
$1,426 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$383 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a broad upper-level trough advecting cooler maritime air have suppressed daytime heating in Moscow on August 13, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature well below the seasonal average of 22–24°C.** Official guidance from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models consistently project a peak near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly to northwesterly flow and intermittent light precipitation. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, anchoring the market-implied probability for 16°C at 55.5% while assigning 30.5% to 15°C and 11.5% to 17°C.
Earlier August warmth, including peaks above 30°C in early-month heat spells, has given way to this cooler regime without recent model shifts that would favor higher readings. Resolution will depend on the highest verified station observation (typically Vnukovo or central Moscow), with any late clearing or delayed showers representing the main upside risks priced into the thin tails above 17°C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow, model-supported 15–17°C window most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$22,841Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a broad upper-level trough advecting cooler maritime air have suppressed daytime heating in Moscow on August 13, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature well below the seasonal average of 22–24°C.** Official guidance from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models consistently project a peak near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly to northwesterly flow and intermittent light precipitation. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, anchoring the market-implied probability for 16°C at 55.5% while assigning 30.5% to 15°C and 11.5% to 17°C.
Earlier August warmth, including peaks above 30°C in early-month heat spells, has given way to this cooler regime without recent model shifts that would favor higher readings. Resolution will depend on the highest verified station observation (typically Vnukovo or central Moscow), with any late clearing or delayed showers representing the main upside risks priced into the thin tails above 17°C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow, model-supported 15–17°C window most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22,841Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, light showers, and a broad upper-level trough advecting cooler maritime air have suppressed daytime heating in Moscow on August 13, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature well below the seasonal average of 22–24°C.** Official guidance from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models consistently project a peak near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly to northwesterly flow and intermittent light precipitation. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, anchoring the market-implied probability for 16°C at 55.5% while assigning 30.5% to 15°C and 11.5% to 17°C. Earlier August warmth, including peaks above 30°C in early-month heat spells, has given way to this cooler regime without recent model shifts that would favor higher readings. Resolution will depend on the highest verified station observation (typically Vnukovo or central Moscow), with any late clearing or delayed showers representing the main upside risks priced into the thin tails above 17°C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow, model-supported 15–17°C window most heavily.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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