Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Trip.com show light rain and highs near 31°C for Qingdao on August 10, establishing the leading market-implied probability at 33%. Coastal marine influence, potential convective cloud cover, and variable wind patterns introduce uncertainty that spreads probabilities across 30–33°C outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31°C highs provide baseline context, while current early-August heat exceeding 34°C and model divergence on precipitation timing keep 32–33°C viable. Traders weigh these meteorological variables against the two-day forecast horizon, where small shifts in rainfall or insolation could alter the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 10 августа?
31°C 34%
32°C 22%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C
15%
34°C
6%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 22%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$55 Объем
1%
28°C
$22 Объем
2%
29°C
$67 Объем
6%
30°C
$84 Объем
16%
31°C
$307 Объем
34%
32°C
$38 Объем
22%
33°C
$76 Объем
15%
34°C
$137 Объем
6%
35°C
$248 Объем
6%
36°C
$454 Объем
1%
37°C или выше
$799 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Trip.com show light rain and highs near 31°C for Qingdao on August 10, establishing the leading market-implied probability at 33%. Coastal marine influence, potential convective cloud cover, and variable wind patterns introduce uncertainty that spreads probabilities across 30–33°C outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31°C highs provide baseline context, while current early-August heat exceeding 34°C and model divergence on precipitation timing keep 32–33°C viable. Traders weigh these meteorological variables against the two-day forecast horizon, where small shifts in rainfall or insolation could alter the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$2,287Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Trip.com show light rain and highs near 31°C for Qingdao on August 10, establishing the leading market-implied probability at 33%. Coastal marine influence, potential convective cloud cover, and variable wind patterns introduce uncertainty that spreads probabilities across 30–33°C outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31°C highs provide baseline context, while current early-August heat exceeding 34°C and model divergence on precipitation timing keep 32–33°C viable. Traders weigh these meteorological variables against the two-day forecast horizon, where small shifts in rainfall or insolation could alter the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,287Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Trip.com show light rain and highs near 31°C for Qingdao on August 10, establishing the leading market-implied probability at 33%. Coastal marine influence, potential convective cloud cover, and variable wind patterns introduce uncertainty that spreads probabilities across 30–33°C outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31°C highs provide baseline context, while current early-August heat exceeding 34°C and model divergence on precipitation timing keep 32–33°C viable. Traders weigh these meteorological variables against the two-day forecast horizon, where small shifts in rainfall or insolation could alter the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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