Real-time observations and numerical weather models from sources like NOAA confirmed that Zhengzhou experienced afternoon highs at or above 32°C on August 24 under typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with heat indices amplified by humidity and light winds. This aligns with regional climatology, where August averages often reach 30–33°C at the Xinzheng International Airport station, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for the 32°C-or-higher outcome. While forecast consensus was robust, realistic challenges could include localized cloud cover or precipitation reducing peak readings by 1–2°C, or minor station measurement revisions, though such shifts remain unlikely given the strong data agreement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 24 августа?
32°C or higher 99.9%
$3,210 Объем
$3,210 Объем
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.9%
$3,210 Объем
$3,210 Объем
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Real-time observations and numerical weather models from sources like NOAA confirmed that Zhengzhou experienced afternoon highs at or above 32°C on August 24 under typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with heat indices amplified by humidity and light winds. This aligns with regional climatology, where August averages often reach 30–33°C at the Xinzheng International Airport station, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for the 32°C-or-higher outcome. While forecast consensus was robust, realistic challenges could include localized cloud cover or precipitation reducing peak readings by 1–2°C, or minor station measurement revisions, though such shifts remain unlikely given the strong data agreement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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