**Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, consistently project a sunny or mostly clear day with highs in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (89°F/32°C), Yr.no (32°C), WindBorne (34°C), Ventusky (~33°C), and the Met Office (34°C), indicate strong daytime heating under light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. August has featured above-normal temperatures across Henan, with earlier peaks reaching 35°C amid subtropical high pressure maintaining hot, humid conditions. As this ridge begins to ease, recent shifts toward drier air and clearer skies are sustaining elevated maxima rather than triggering rapid cooling. Historical late-August baselines for Zhengzhou hover near 30–32°C, and the absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloudiness supports the market-implied odds favoring 32°C or higher (57.5%) over lower bins. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from global models showing peak solar insolation and stable high-pressure steering, with limited downside risk from precipitation or northerly advection in the immediate forecast window. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 31 августа?
32°C or higher 57%
31°C 47%
30°C 19%
29°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
19%
31°C
47%
32°C or higher
57%
32°C or higher 57%
31°C 47%
30°C 19%
29°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
19%
31°C
47%
32°C or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, consistently project a sunny or mostly clear day with highs in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (89°F/32°C), Yr.no (32°C), WindBorne (34°C), Ventusky (~33°C), and the Met Office (34°C), indicate strong daytime heating under light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. August has featured above-normal temperatures across Henan, with earlier peaks reaching 35°C amid subtropical high pressure maintaining hot, humid conditions. As this ridge begins to ease, recent shifts toward drier air and clearer skies are sustaining elevated maxima rather than triggering rapid cooling. Historical late-August baselines for Zhengzhou hover near 30–32°C, and the absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloudiness supports the market-implied odds favoring 32°C or higher (57.5%) over lower bins. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from global models showing peak solar insolation and stable high-pressure steering, with limited downside risk from precipitation or northerly advection in the immediate forecast window. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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