Recent meteorological forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate a high near 28–29°C on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer patterns in the North China Plain. Multiple models show this range driven by stable high pressure and limited moisture advection ahead of a frontal system arriving September 20. Trader emphasis on the 32°C-or-higher outcome at 50% implied probability appears anchored in uncertainty around model spread and potential for localized warming, while the cluster around 27–30°C reflects consensus from current observational trends and climatological baselines for mid-September highs near 29°C. Updated guidance from regional forecasting centers over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 19 сентября?
32°C или выше 100%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
28°C 23%
22°C или ниже
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
17%
27°C
23%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C или выше
100%
32°C или выше 100%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
28°C 23%
22°C или ниже
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
17%
27°C
23%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C или выше
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate a high near 28–29°C on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer patterns in the North China Plain. Multiple models show this range driven by stable high pressure and limited moisture advection ahead of a frontal system arriving September 20. Trader emphasis on the 32°C-or-higher outcome at 50% implied probability appears anchored in uncertainty around model spread and potential for localized warming, while the cluster around 27–30°C reflects consensus from current observational trends and climatological baselines for mid-September highs near 29°C. Updated guidance from regional forecasting centers over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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