The even split of 18 Republican-held and 18 Democratic-held seats up for election in 2026, with Democrats defending five governorships in states carried by Trump in 2024, anchors trader expectations near the current total of 26 Republican governors. Key battlegrounds in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Kansas present the clearest paths for net change, while Republican incumbents in New Hampshire and Vermont face reelection in states won by Harris. Early primary activity and candidate recruitment in open seats such as Georgia and Minnesota continue to shape positioning, leaving the most likely outcomes of 22–25 Republican governors closely matched until clearer signals emerge from polling and nominations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько республиканских губернаторов после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
22–23 34%
24–25 31%
26–27 17%
<22 14%
$667,336 Объем
$667,336 Объем
<22
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
31%
26–27
17%
28–29
7%
30–31
<1%
32+
<1%
22–23 34%
24–25 31%
26–27 17%
<22 14%
$667,336 Объем
$667,336 Объем
<22
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
31%
26–27
17%
28–29
7%
30–31
<1%
32+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The even split of 18 Republican-held and 18 Democratic-held seats up for election in 2026, with Democrats defending five governorships in states carried by Trump in 2024, anchors trader expectations near the current total of 26 Republican governors. Key battlegrounds in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Kansas present the clearest paths for net change, while Republican incumbents in New Hampshire and Vermont face reelection in states won by Harris. Early primary activity and candidate recruitment in open seats such as Georgia and Minnesota continue to shape positioning, leaving the most likely outcomes of 22–25 Republican governors closely matched until clearer signals emerge from polling and nominations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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