Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 36 seats contested evenly between the parties. Multiple open races created by term limits and retirements, combined with Democratic defenses in five states carried by President Trump in 2024, have produced several toss-ups and lean contests according to forecasters. These include Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Wisconsin, and Arizona, where candidate fields, local policy debates, and turnout patterns could determine net partisan shifts. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with the 22–25 range capturing the most probable outcomes while lower and higher bins remain live depending on flips in the closest states.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено22–23 29%
24–25 21%
<22 20%
26–27 16%
$694,735 Объем
$694,735 Объем
<22
20%
22–23
29%
24–25
21%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 29%
24–25 21%
<22 20%
26–27 16%
$694,735 Объем
$694,735 Объем
<22
20%
22–23
29%
24–25
21%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 36 seats contested evenly between the parties. Multiple open races created by term limits and retirements, combined with Democratic defenses in five states carried by President Trump in 2024, have produced several toss-ups and lean contests according to forecasters. These include Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Wisconsin, and Arizona, where candidate fields, local policy debates, and turnout patterns could determine net partisan shifts. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with the 22–25 range capturing the most probable outcomes while lower and higher bins remain live depending on flips in the closest states.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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