Sustained Falcon 9 reusability and rapid turnaround times remain the dominant driver behind the market’s concentration on the 140-159 and 160-179 launch ranges for 2026. With roughly 50 missions already completed by late April and a consistent cadence exceeding one flight every three days, the vehicle’s proven reliability—supported by multiple reflights of individual boosters—keeps projections anchored near 150-160 total orbital attempts. Starship development adds uncertainty, as ongoing flight tests and Block 3 upgrades target higher payload capacity but have yet to contribute significantly to annual totals. Regulatory approvals, range availability, and weather windows at Florida and California sites will determine whether the fleet can push toward or beyond 180 missions before year-end.