SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in April and recent acceleration of its IPO timeline, with a targeted Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpin the market-implied 91.5% probability for a June outcome. Faster-than-expected regulatory review has enabled a roadshow launch in early June, supporting a valuation range of $1.75–2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise that would rank among the largest in history. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable milestones, including the prospectus's expected public release imminently and allocation of up to 30% of shares to retail investors. A modest 6.2% July probability accounts for possible delays from final pricing mechanics or market volatility, while outcomes beyond mid-2026 remain below 1% given the compressed schedule.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИюнь 92%
Июль 6.0%
Нет IPO до 2027 года <1%
Сентябрь <1%
$362,735 Объем
$362,735 Объем
Май
<1%
Июнь
92%
Июль
6%
Август
<1%
Сентябрь
1%
Октябрь
<1%
Ноябрь
<1%
Декабрь
<1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
1%
Июнь 92%
Июль 6.0%
Нет IPO до 2027 года <1%
Сентябрь <1%
$362,735 Объем
$362,735 Объем
Май
<1%
Июнь
92%
Июль
6%
Август
<1%
Сентябрь
1%
Октябрь
<1%
Ноябрь
<1%
Декабрь
<1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in April and recent acceleration of its IPO timeline, with a targeted Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpin the market-implied 91.5% probability for a June outcome. Faster-than-expected regulatory review has enabled a roadshow launch in early June, supporting a valuation range of $1.75–2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise that would rank among the largest in history. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable milestones, including the prospectus's expected public release imminently and allocation of up to 30% of shares to retail investors. A modest 6.2% July probability accounts for possible delays from final pricing mechanics or market volatility, while outcomes beyond mid-2026 remain below 1% given the compressed schedule.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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