Rob Sand holds a commanding lead in Iowa's Democratic primary for governor, scheduled for June 2, 2026, reflecting traders' assessment of his strong ballot access and institutional advantages. As the state's sitting auditor and sole elected Democrat in statewide office, Sand successfully filed qualifying petitions in March, while challengers Julie Stauch and Paul Dahl were disqualified for failing to meet signature and filing requirements. This outcome has allowed Sand to consolidate party endorsements and resources ahead of the open seat created by Republican incumbent Kim Reynolds's decision not to run. With the primary just weeks away, scenarios that could still shift probabilities include successful legal appeals overturning the disqualifications or unforeseen late-breaking developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРоб Сэнд 97.8%
Пол Даль <1%
Джули Стaух <1%
$376,286 Объем
$376,286 Объем
Роб Сэнд
98%
Пол Даль
1%
Джули Стaух
1%
Роб Сэнд 97.8%
Пол Даль <1%
Джули Стaух <1%
$376,286 Объем
$376,286 Объем
Роб Сэнд
98%
Пол Даль
1%
Джули Стaух
1%
If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rob Sand holds a commanding lead in Iowa's Democratic primary for governor, scheduled for June 2, 2026, reflecting traders' assessment of his strong ballot access and institutional advantages. As the state's sitting auditor and sole elected Democrat in statewide office, Sand successfully filed qualifying petitions in March, while challengers Julie Stauch and Paul Dahl were disqualified for failing to meet signature and filing requirements. This outcome has allowed Sand to consolidate party endorsements and resources ahead of the open seat created by Republican incumbent Kim Reynolds's decision not to run. With the primary just weeks away, scenarios that could still shift probabilities include successful legal appeals overturning the disqualifications or unforeseen late-breaking developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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