Recent statements from Iranian officials indicate ongoing diplomatic coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz transit rules, including potential joint oversight and fees under international law, yet no formal bilateral agreement has been finalized or scheduled for signing. Talks have progressed through deputy-level meetings and draft protocols since April, but face structural hurdles such as consultations with other Gulf states and regional opposition to expanded Iranian influence over the waterway. With only days remaining until the June 15 cutoff, trader consensus reflects the absence of an imminent binding deal amid broader U.S.-Iran and regional dynamics. A last-minute announcement or breakthrough in current negotiations remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
$16,297 Объем
$16,297 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
$16,297 Объем
$16,297 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent statements from Iranian officials indicate ongoing diplomatic coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz transit rules, including potential joint oversight and fees under international law, yet no formal bilateral agreement has been finalized or scheduled for signing. Talks have progressed through deputy-level meetings and draft protocols since April, but face structural hurdles such as consultations with other Gulf states and regional opposition to expanded Iranian influence over the waterway. With only days remaining until the June 15 cutoff, trader consensus reflects the absence of an imminent binding deal amid broader U.S.-Iran and regional dynamics. A last-minute announcement or breakthrough in current negotiations remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$16,297Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent statements from Iranian officials indicate ongoing diplomatic coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz transit rules, including potential joint oversight and fees under international law, yet no formal bilateral agreement has been finalized or scheduled for signing. Talks have progressed through deputy-level meetings and draft protocols since April, but face structural hurdles such as consultations with other Gulf states and regional opposition to expanded Iranian influence over the waterway. With only days remaining until the June 15 cutoff, trader consensus reflects the absence of an imminent binding deal amid broader U.S.-Iran and regional dynamics. A last-minute announcement or breakthrough in current negotiations remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$16,297Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from Iranian officials indicate ongoing diplomatic coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz transit rules, including potential joint oversight and fees under international law, yet no formal bilateral agreement has been finalized or scheduled for signing. Talks have progressed through deputy-level meetings and draft protocols since April, but face structural hurdles such as consultations with other Gulf states and regional opposition to expanded Iranian influence over the waterway. With only days remaining until the June 15 cutoff, trader consensus reflects the absence of an imminent binding deal amid broader U.S.-Iran and regional dynamics. A last-minute announcement or breakthrough in current negotiations remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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