Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, yet his 14-year appointment to the Board of Governors extends through 2028, creating the core uncertainty for resolution timing. Recent statements indicate he intends to remain until the Federal Reserve Inspector General completes its review of the headquarters renovation project, a probe accelerated by White House criticism and prior Department of Justice scrutiny. This stance breaks with historical precedent where outgoing chairs typically step down from the board. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that the report’s release and any related political pressures could accelerate his departure before 2028, while broader monetary-policy continuity under incoming Chair Kevin Warsh supports a measured timeline. Traders are monitoring the IG timeline and administration commentary for signals that could shift probabilities around key 2026–2027 thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$321,630 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 мая
2%
31 декабря
44%
$321,630 Объем
30 мая
$200,831 Объем
2%
31 декабря
$120,799 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, yet his 14-year appointment to the Board of Governors extends through 2028, creating the core uncertainty for resolution timing. Recent statements indicate he intends to remain until the Federal Reserve Inspector General completes its review of the headquarters renovation project, a probe accelerated by White House criticism and prior Department of Justice scrutiny. This stance breaks with historical precedent where outgoing chairs typically step down from the board. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that the report’s release and any related political pressures could accelerate his departure before 2028, while broader monetary-policy continuity under incoming Chair Kevin Warsh supports a measured timeline. Traders are monitoring the IG timeline and administration commentary for signals that could shift probabilities around key 2026–2027 thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$321,630Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, yet his 14-year appointment to the Board of Governors extends through 2028, creating the core uncertainty for resolution timing. Recent statements indicate he intends to remain until the Federal Reserve Inspector General completes its review of the headquarters renovation project, a probe accelerated by White House criticism and prior Department of Justice scrutiny. This stance breaks with historical precedent where outgoing chairs typically step down from the board. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that the report’s release and any related political pressures could accelerate his departure before 2028, while broader monetary-policy continuity under incoming Chair Kevin Warsh supports a measured timeline. Traders are monitoring the IG timeline and administration commentary for signals that could shift probabilities around key 2026–2027 thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$321,630Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, yet his 14-year appointment to the Board of Governors extends through 2028, creating the core uncertainty for resolution timing. Recent statements indicate he intends to remain until the Federal Reserve Inspector General completes its review of the headquarters renovation project, a probe accelerated by White House criticism and prior Department of Justice scrutiny. This stance breaks with historical precedent where outgoing chairs typically step down from the board. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that the report’s release and any related political pressures could accelerate his departure before 2028, while broader monetary-policy continuity under incoming Chair Kevin Warsh supports a measured timeline. Traders are monitoring the IG timeline and administration commentary for signals that could shift probabilities around key 2026–2027 thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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