Adam Hamilton's entry into the race on April 30 has quickly established him as the dominant contender for the Democratic nomination in Kansas's August 4 primary. The Leawood megachurch pastor's high public profile, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in his first week, and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent have drawn strong trader support, reflected in his current 86.5% implied probability. A crowded field including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several others lacks comparable name recognition or early momentum. No primary polls have yet emerged to challenge this positioning, though the general election against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall remains distant. Traders appear to view Hamilton's resources and visibility as decisive factors in the short primary window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАдам Хэмилтон 87%
Патрик Шмидт 3.9%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман 3.8%
Шарис Дэвидс 1.3%
$129,683 Объем
$129,683 Объем
Адам Хэмилтон
87%
Патрик Шмидт
4%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман
4%
Шарис Дэвидс
1%
Кристи Дэвис
1%
Кевин Лац
1%
Джейсон Харт
<1%
Дэймон Андерсон
<1%
Майкл Соэтарт
<1%
Эрик Мюррей
<1%
Анна Парелкар
<1%
Ноа Тейлор
<1%
Адам Хэмилтон 87%
Патрик Шмидт 3.9%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман 3.8%
Шарис Дэвидс 1.3%
$129,683 Объем
$129,683 Объем
Адам Хэмилтон
87%
Патрик Шмидт
4%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман
4%
Шарис Дэвидс
1%
Кристи Дэвис
1%
Кевин Лац
1%
Джейсон Харт
<1%
Дэймон Андерсон
<1%
Майкл Соэтарт
<1%
Эрик Мюррей
<1%
Анна Парелкар
<1%
Ноа Тейлор
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton's entry into the race on April 30 has quickly established him as the dominant contender for the Democratic nomination in Kansas's August 4 primary. The Leawood megachurch pastor's high public profile, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in his first week, and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent have drawn strong trader support, reflected in his current 86.5% implied probability. A crowded field including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several others lacks comparable name recognition or early momentum. No primary polls have yet emerged to challenge this positioning, though the general election against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall remains distant. Traders appear to view Hamilton's resources and visibility as decisive factors in the short primary window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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