Adam Hamilton’s late April 2026 entry into the Kansas Democratic Senate primary has rapidly established him as the clear frontrunner, with traders assigning him an 86.5 percent implied probability of winning the August 4 nomination. His profile as founding pastor of one of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregations, combined with more than $1 million raised in the campaign’s first week, has given him substantial name recognition and organizational advantages over a crowded field that includes former state senator Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several lesser-known challengers. Recent reporting on his fundraising and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent has reinforced expectations that he will consolidate support ahead of the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАдам Хэмилтон 87%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман 4.5%
Патрик Шмидт 3.7%
Шарис Дэвидс 1.3%
$129,683 Объем
$129,683 Объем
Адам Хэмилтон
87%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман
4%
Патрик Шмидт
4%
Шарис Дэвидс
1%
Кристи Дэвис
1%
Кевин Лац
1%
Дэймон Андерсон
<1%
Джейсон Харт
<1%
Майкл Соэтарт
<1%
Эрик Мюррей
<1%
Анна Парелкар
<1%
Ноа Тейлор
<1%
Адам Хэмилтон 87%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман 4.5%
Патрик Шмидт 3.7%
Шарис Дэвидс 1.3%
$129,683 Объем
$129,683 Объем
Адам Хэмилтон
87%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман
4%
Патрик Шмидт
4%
Шарис Дэвидс
1%
Кристи Дэвис
1%
Кевин Лац
1%
Дэймон Андерсон
<1%
Джейсон Харт
<1%
Майкл Соэтарт
<1%
Эрик Мюррей
<1%
Анна Парелкар
<1%
Ноа Тейлор
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton’s late April 2026 entry into the Kansas Democratic Senate primary has rapidly established him as the clear frontrunner, with traders assigning him an 86.5 percent implied probability of winning the August 4 nomination. His profile as founding pastor of one of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregations, combined with more than $1 million raised in the campaign’s first week, has given him substantial name recognition and organizational advantages over a crowded field that includes former state senator Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several lesser-known challengers. Recent reporting on his fundraising and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent has reinforced expectations that he will consolidate support ahead of the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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