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icon for Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?

10°C or below 97%

20°C or higher 95%

16°C 50%

11°C 48%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

10°C or below 97%

20°C or higher 95%

16°C 50%

11°C 48%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

10°C or below

$0 Объем

97%

11°C

$0 Объем

48%

12°C

$0 Объем

48%

13°C

$0 Объем

48%

14°C

$0 Объем

27%

15°C

$0 Объем

28%

16°C

$0 Объем

50%

17°C

$0 Объем

48%

18°C

$0 Объем

48%

19°C

$0 Объем

8%

20°C or higher

$0 Объем

95%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological services currently indicate a mild overnight low of 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 10–15 km/h.** This aligns with climatological norms (average low ~12.3°C) driven by typical early-autumn Atlantic flow and modest radiative cooling under broken cloud cover. Key variables differentiating outcomes include the timing and strength of any weak fronts, which could enhance mixing and prevent dips below 11°C, versus clearer intervals that might allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 10°C or below. Conversely, stronger southerly advection or delayed cooling could push the minimum toward or above 15–16°C. Short-range ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the date, supporting trader focus on model consensus updates from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF over the next 48 hours rather than long-term climate signals.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological services currently indicate a mild overnight low of 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 10–15 km/h.** This aligns with climatological norms (average low ~12.3°C) driven by typical early-autumn Atlantic flow and modest radiative cooling under broken cloud cover. Key variables differentiating outcomes include the timing and strength of any weak fronts, which could enhance mixing and prevent dips below 11°C, versus clearer intervals that might allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 10°C or below. Conversely, stronger southerly advection or delayed cooling could push the minimum toward or above 15–16°C. Short-range ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the date, supporting trader focus on model consensus updates from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF over the next 48 hours rather than long-term climate signals.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «10°C or below» с 49%, за ним следует «20°C or higher» с 48%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?» — «10°C or below» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «20°C or higher» с 48%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 1 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.