Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to minimum temperatures of 11–14°C in Ankara on September 19, reflecting tight clustering around official forecast guidance. Numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling from a daytime high near 24°C. Surface observations and ensemble outputs show overnight lows settling between 12–14°C, consistent with late-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. Minor model spread around dew-point and boundary-layer mixing explains the near-even odds between 11°C and 14°C bins. Updated short-range guidance and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts ahead of resolution remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before the market settles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 19 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Анкаре 19 сентября?
13°C 46%
10°C 40%
17°C 38%
11°C 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
2%
10°C
40%
11°C
30%
12°C
21%
13°C
34%
14°C
22%
15°C
7%
16°C
24%
17°C
38%
18°C
7%
19°C или выше
2%
13°C 46%
10°C 40%
17°C 38%
11°C 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
10°C
$0 Объем
40%
11°C
$0 Объем
30%
12°C
$7 Объем
21%
13°C
$16 Объем
34%
14°C
$38 Объем
22%
15°C
$21 Объем
7%
16°C
$0 Объем
24%
17°C
$0 Объем
38%
18°C
$0 Объем
7%
19°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to minimum temperatures of 11–14°C in Ankara on September 19, reflecting tight clustering around official forecast guidance. Numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling from a daytime high near 24°C. Surface observations and ensemble outputs show overnight lows settling between 12–14°C, consistent with late-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. Minor model spread around dew-point and boundary-layer mixing explains the near-even odds between 11°C and 14°C bins. Updated short-range guidance and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts ahead of resolution remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$83Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to minimum temperatures of 11–14°C in Ankara on September 19, reflecting tight clustering around official forecast guidance. Numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling from a daytime high near 24°C. Surface observations and ensemble outputs show overnight lows settling between 12–14°C, consistent with late-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. Minor model spread around dew-point and boundary-layer mixing explains the near-even odds between 11°C and 14°C bins. Updated short-range guidance and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts ahead of resolution remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$83Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to minimum temperatures of 11–14°C in Ankara on September 19, reflecting tight clustering around official forecast guidance. Numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling from a daytime high near 24°C. Surface observations and ensemble outputs show overnight lows settling between 12–14°C, consistent with late-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. Minor model spread around dew-point and boundary-layer mixing explains the near-even odds between 11°C and 14°C bins. Updated short-range guidance and any unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts ahead of resolution remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before the market settles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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