Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure that limits strong radiative cooling. Dew points near 11°C and minimal expected precipitation support this clustering, with small model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but the current warmer air mass keeps probabilities concentrated above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the consensus minimum against potential revisions from updated model runs or observed cloud trends ahead of the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Анкаре 20 сентября?
13°C 24%
12°C 22%
14°C 22%
11°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
22%
13°C
24%
14°C
22%
15°C
14%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C или выше
4%
13°C 24%
12°C 22%
14°C 22%
11°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$0 Объем
11%
11°C
$0 Объем
19%
12°C
$0 Объем
22%
13°C
$0 Объем
24%
14°C
$22 Объем
22%
15°C
$0 Объем
14%
16°C
$0 Объем
11%
17°C
$0 Объем
7%
18°C
$0 Объем
5%
19°C
$0 Объем
4%
20°C или выше
$0 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure that limits strong radiative cooling. Dew points near 11°C and minimal expected precipitation support this clustering, with small model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but the current warmer air mass keeps probabilities concentrated above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the consensus minimum against potential revisions from updated model runs or observed cloud trends ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$22Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure that limits strong radiative cooling. Dew points near 11°C and minimal expected precipitation support this clustering, with small model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but the current warmer air mass keeps probabilities concentrated above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the consensus minimum against potential revisions from updated model runs or observed cloud trends ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure that limits strong radiative cooling. Dew points near 11°C and minimal expected precipitation support this clustering, with small model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but the current warmer air mass keeps probabilities concentrated above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the consensus minimum against potential revisions from updated model runs or observed cloud trends ahead of the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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