Current short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 8–12°C (46–54°F) for Cape Town on September 1, consistent with climatological averages around 11°C at dawn. Recent late-August observations show overnight lows in the 10–15°C range under generally mild, stable conditions with light southerly flow and limited cold-air advection. Model consensus currently shows low probability of a sharp cold surge capable of dropping readings to 4°C or below, though small uncertainties in steering patterns or nocturnal cooling rates keep that tail risk priced in at nearly 50% implied probability. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 8–11°C buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 1 сентября?
4°C or below 93%
5°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
4°C or below
93%
5°C
49%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C or higher
2%
4°C or below 93%
5°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
4°C or below
$0 Объем
93%
5°C
$0 Объем
49%
6°C
$0 Объем
25%
7°C
$0 Объем
25%
8°C
$0 Объем
28%
9°C
$0 Объем
26%
10°C
$0 Объем
25%
11°C
$0 Объем
25%
12°C
$0 Объем
49%
13°C
$0 Объем
49%
14°C or higher
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 8–12°C (46–54°F) for Cape Town on September 1, consistent with climatological averages around 11°C at dawn. Recent late-August observations show overnight lows in the 10–15°C range under generally mild, stable conditions with light southerly flow and limited cold-air advection. Model consensus currently shows low probability of a sharp cold surge capable of dropping readings to 4°C or below, though small uncertainties in steering patterns or nocturnal cooling rates keep that tail risk priced in at nearly 50% implied probability. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 8–11°C buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 8–12°C (46–54°F) for Cape Town on September 1, consistent with climatological averages around 11°C at dawn. Recent late-August observations show overnight lows in the 10–15°C range under generally mild, stable conditions with light southerly flow and limited cold-air advection. Model consensus currently shows low probability of a sharp cold surge capable of dropping readings to 4°C or below, though small uncertainties in steering patterns or nocturnal cooling rates keep that tail risk priced in at nearly 50% implied probability. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 8–11°C buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 8–12°C (46–54°F) for Cape Town on September 1, consistent with climatological averages around 11°C at dawn. Recent late-August observations show overnight lows in the 10–15°C range under generally mild, stable conditions with light southerly flow and limited cold-air advection. Model consensus currently shows low probability of a sharp cold surge capable of dropping readings to 4°C or below, though small uncertainties in steering patterns or nocturnal cooling rates keep that tail risk priced in at nearly 50% implied probability. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 8–11°C buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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