Clear skies and light south-southeasterly winds under stable high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Cape Town, with multiple models including GFS indicating a minimum near 13–14°C for September 20. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 13°C and 12°C outcomes, as current observations show daytime highs around 23–25°C transitioning to clear nighttime conditions. Spring climatology typically features September minima of 10–12°C, but the absence of cloud cover or stronger onshore flow supports the current positioning above the lower tail. Updated model runs and final official readings from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 20 сентября?
12°C 100%
10°C или ниже 82%
11°C 18%
14°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
82%
11°C
18%
12°C
100%
13°C
60%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
12°C 100%
10°C или ниже 82%
11°C 18%
14°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$0 Объем
82%
11°C
$0 Объем
18%
12°C
$0 Объем
100%
13°C
$243 Объем
60%
14°C
$245 Объем
<1%
15°C
$250 Объем
<1%
16°C
$392 Объем
<1%
17°C
$37 Объем
<1%
18°C
$37 Объем
<1%
19°C
$37 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$1,441 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light south-southeasterly winds under stable high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Cape Town, with multiple models including GFS indicating a minimum near 13–14°C for September 20. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 13°C and 12°C outcomes, as current observations show daytime highs around 23–25°C transitioning to clear nighttime conditions. Spring climatology typically features September minima of 10–12°C, but the absence of cloud cover or stronger onshore flow supports the current positioning above the lower tail. Updated model runs and final official readings from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$2,682Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light south-southeasterly winds under stable high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Cape Town, with multiple models including GFS indicating a minimum near 13–14°C for September 20. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 13°C and 12°C outcomes, as current observations show daytime highs around 23–25°C transitioning to clear nighttime conditions. Spring climatology typically features September minima of 10–12°C, but the absence of cloud cover or stronger onshore flow supports the current positioning above the lower tail. Updated model runs and final official readings from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,682Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light south-southeasterly winds under stable high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Cape Town, with multiple models including GFS indicating a minimum near 13–14°C for September 20. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 13°C and 12°C outcomes, as current observations show daytime highs around 23–25°C transitioning to clear nighttime conditions. Spring climatology typically features September minima of 10–12°C, but the absence of cloud cover or stronger onshore flow supports the current positioning above the lower tail. Updated model runs and final official readings from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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