Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity across the Sichuan Basin are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered around 17–21°C according to converging GFS and ECMWF guidance. Light winds and overcast conditions have prevented the sharper drops that clear skies would allow, while recent days’ stable pattern has produced similar observed lows near 19–20°C. Trader odds reflect this narrow range, with 21°C, 20°C, and 16°C-or-below each commanding roughly 50% implied probability. Final resolution will hinge on the official China Meteorological Administration minimum reading for the 24-hour period ending at midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 20 сентября?
16°C или ниже 100%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
19°C 46%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
100%
17°C
90%
18°C
90%
19°C
46%
20°C
50%
21°C
55%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
16°C или ниже 100%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
19°C 46%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
17°C
$0 Объем
90%
18°C
$0 Объем
90%
19°C
$0 Объем
46%
20°C
$47 Объем
50%
21°C
$28 Объем
55%
22°C
$341 Объем
<1%
23°C
$31 Объем
<1%
24°C
$31 Объем
<1%
25°C
$31 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$31 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity across the Sichuan Basin are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered around 17–21°C according to converging GFS and ECMWF guidance. Light winds and overcast conditions have prevented the sharper drops that clear skies would allow, while recent days’ stable pattern has produced similar observed lows near 19–20°C. Trader odds reflect this narrow range, with 21°C, 20°C, and 16°C-or-below each commanding roughly 50% implied probability. Final resolution will hinge on the official China Meteorological Administration minimum reading for the 24-hour period ending at midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$540Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity across the Sichuan Basin are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered around 17–21°C according to converging GFS and ECMWF guidance. Light winds and overcast conditions have prevented the sharper drops that clear skies would allow, while recent days’ stable pattern has produced similar observed lows near 19–20°C. Trader odds reflect this narrow range, with 21°C, 20°C, and 16°C-or-below each commanding roughly 50% implied probability. Final resolution will hinge on the official China Meteorological Administration minimum reading for the 24-hour period ending at midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$540Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity across the Sichuan Basin are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Chengdu, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered around 17–21°C according to converging GFS and ECMWF guidance. Light winds and overcast conditions have prevented the sharper drops that clear skies would allow, while recent days’ stable pattern has produced similar observed lows near 19–20°C. Trader odds reflect this narrow range, with 21°C, 20°C, and 16°C-or-below each commanding roughly 50% implied probability. Final resolution will hinge on the official China Meteorological Administration minimum reading for the 24-hour period ending at midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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